Testing the sensitivity of geophysical proxies for climate reconstructions along a narrow precipitation gradient in the Middle Danube Basin

Abstract Climate oscillations may strongly modify continental precipitation and temperature patterns, therefore understanding their history is relevant for comprehending effects of past and ongoing climate changes. For this purpose, temperature and precipitation reconstructions beyond the instrumental record are extremely useful. As widespread terrestrial archives, loess–paleosol sequences are viable targets for such analyses. Consequently, cost-efficient geophysical proxies have gained increasing attention, but little is known about their capability to reflect even narrow climatic differences. Here we assess the sensitivity of rock-magnetic and photo-spectrometric properties of topsoil samples ( n = 50) along uncorrelated, mean annual precipitation ( MAP : 525±1 mm/yr to 584±1 mm/yr) and mean annual temperature ( MAT : 10.8±0.1 °C to 11.2±0.1 °C) gradients across the Bačka Loess Plateau (Serbia) and test a multivariate approach. Most proxies are sensitive to MAP <565±1 mm/yr, especially anhysteretic remanent magnetization ( r 2 = 0.81). Applying a multivariate approach to hysteresis data reveals a robust relationship between precipitation ( r 2 = 0.63), aridity ( r 2 = 0.67) and physical properties over the entire MAP range. Although the approach needs to be further tested considering different climates, regression analyses, and timescales, our study indicates that multi-proxy approaches may increase the robustness with respect to single-proxy measurements for MAP and aridity reconstructions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quaternary Research
Published
2026-03-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/qua.2025.10059
Primary Topic
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Testing the sensitivity of geophysical proxies for climate reconstructions along a narrow precipitation gradient in the Middle Danube Basin

Mathias Vinnepand, Kamila Ryzner, Milivoj B. Gavrilov, Jordana Ninkov et al.
Quaternary Research
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
article

Testing the sensitivity of geophysical proxies for climate reconstructions along a narrow precipitation gradient in the Middle Danube Basin

Mathias Vinnepand, Kamila Ryzner, Milivoj B. Gavrilov, Jordana Ninkov, Da Silva Anne-Christine, Zoran M. Perić, France Lagroix, Milica Bosnić, Christian Rolf, Christian Laag
article en

Abstract

Abstract Climate oscillations may strongly modify continental precipitation and temperature patterns, therefore understanding their history is relevant for comprehending effects of past and ongoing climate changes. For this purpose, temperature and precipitation reconstructions beyond the instrumental record are extremely useful. As widespread terrestrial archives, loess–paleosol sequences are viable targets for such analyses. Consequently, cost-efficient geophysical proxies have gained increasing attention, but little is known about their capability to reflect even narrow climatic differences. Here we assess the sensitivity of rock-magnetic and photo-spectrometric properties of topsoil samples ( n = 50) along uncorrelated, mean annual precipitation ( MAP : 525±1 mm/yr to 584±1 mm/yr) and mean annual temperature ( MAT : 10.8±0.1 °C to 11.2±0.1 °C) gradients across the Bačka Loess Plateau (Serbia) and test a multivariate approach. Most proxies are sensitive to MAP <565±1 mm/yr, especially anhysteretic remanent magnetization ( r 2 = 0.81). Applying a multivariate approach to hysteresis data reveals a robust relationship between precipitation ( r 2 = 0.63), aridity ( r 2 = 0.67) and physical properties over the entire MAP range. Although the approach needs to be further tested considering different climates, regression analyses, and timescales, our study indicates that multi-proxy approaches may increase the robustness with respect to single-proxy measurements for MAP and aridity reconstructions.

Quaternary Research
Silesian University of Technology (PL), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), American Academy of Arts and Sciences (US), Institut de physique du globe de Paris (FR), University of Liège (BE), University of Novi Sad (RS), Université Paris Cité (FR), Institute of Field and Vegetable Crops (RS), Géosciences Rennes (FR), Energoservis (Czechia) (CZ), Institute of Applied Geophysics of the Academy of Sciences (RU), University of Montenegro (ME)
L'Oreal USA, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Leibniz-Institut für Angewandte Geophysik, Silesian University of Technology, Science Fund of the Republic of Serbia
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
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