A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes

Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al. ( Biometrics , 65(4):1254–1261, 2009), which involves no randomization, tuning parameter, or binning of covariates. The statistic's large‐sample distribution under the null hypothesis is determined; as it involves unknown parameter values, one must resort to a bootstrap procedure to compute ‐values. Simulations are conducted to investigate the ability of the test to detect a broad range of model misspecifications commonly seen in practice. The proposed procedure is seen to perform well in all the scenarios considered as well as on real data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Canadian Journal of Statistics
Published
2026-03-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/cjs.70046
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
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article

A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes

Christian Genest, Johanna Nešlehová, Lu Yang
Canadian Journal of Statistics
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes

Christian Genest, Johanna Nešlehová, Lu Yang
article en

Abstract

Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al. ( Biometrics , 65(4):1254–1261, 2009), which involves no randomization, tuning parameter, or binning of covariates. The statistic's large‐sample distribution under the null hypothesis is determined; as it involves unknown parameter values, one must resort to a bootstrap procedure to compute ‐values. Simulations are conducted to investigate the ability of the test to detect a broad range of model misspecifications commonly seen in practice. The proposed procedure is seen to perform well in all the scenarios considered as well as on real data.

Canadian Journal of Statistics
University of Minnesota (US), McGill University (CA)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 34%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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