Drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia

• We mapped and analyzed forest disturbance drivers in the entire Southeast Asia. • We applied a Landsat time series method, CCDC-SMA, combined with auxiliary data. • We estimated the area of different drivers over time. • The margins of error of our area estimates for all classes are all less than 26%. • New plantation and shifting cultivation have the largest areas among the drivers. Although Southeast Asia is a hotspot of forest disturbance, there is a lack of fine-resolution and long-term analysis of drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia. Here, we present a study of mapping and analyzing drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia at 30-meter resolution from 2000 to 2021. We used a combination of Continuous Change Detection and Classification − Spectral Mixture Analysis (CCDC-SMA), object-based image analysis, and land cover classification to attribute the drivers of forest disturbances. The overall accuracy of the map of drivers of forest disturbance reached 76.3% (77% before area-adjusted estimates). The margins of error of our area estimates for all classes are all less than 26%. We found that shifting cultivation affected 231,927 ± 45,009 km 2 , which accounted for 4.7% ± 0.9% of Southeast Asia. The area of the new plantation is 186,457 ± 40,487 km 2 (3.8% ± 0.8% of Southeast Asia). Deforestation accounted for 3.0% ± 0.8% of Southeast Asia, equivalent to 148,511 ± 37,547 km 2 . Shifting cultivation has the lowest uncertainty among the change classes. Shifting cultivation mainly occurs in Myanmar, Laos, and Indonesia. New plantations mainly occur in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Myanmar. Deforestation mainly occurs in Indonesia, Cambodia, and Laos. New plantations increased significantly in 2006–2010 compared to 2001–2005, and then decreased after 2010. The area of deforestation decreased slightly from 2001 to 2010 and increased slightly from 2010 to 2020. Shifting cultivation has a moderately increasing trend over time. Our study provides important information on drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia, which helps to improve decision-making for forest conservation and land management.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Published
2026-03-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105220
Primary Topic
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia

Pontus Olofsson, Shijuan Chen, Curtis E. Woodcock, Hanfeng Gu et al.
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
article

Drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia

Pontus Olofsson, Shijuan Chen, Curtis E. Woodcock, Hanfeng Gu, Xiaojing Tang, Luofan Dong
article en

Abstract

• We mapped and analyzed forest disturbance drivers in the entire Southeast Asia. • We applied a Landsat time series method, CCDC-SMA, combined with auxiliary data. • We estimated the area of different drivers over time. • The margins of error of our area estimates for all classes are all less than 26%. • New plantation and shifting cultivation have the largest areas among the drivers. Although Southeast Asia is a hotspot of forest disturbance, there is a lack of fine-resolution and long-term analysis of drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia. Here, we present a study of mapping and analyzing drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia at 30-meter resolution from 2000 to 2021. We used a combination of Continuous Change Detection and Classification − Spectral Mixture Analysis (CCDC-SMA), object-based image analysis, and land cover classification to attribute the drivers of forest disturbances. The overall accuracy of the map of drivers of forest disturbance reached 76.3% (77% before area-adjusted estimates). The margins of error of our area estimates for all classes are all less than 26%. We found that shifting cultivation affected 231,927 ± 45,009 km 2 , which accounted for 4.7% ± 0.9% of Southeast Asia. The area of the new plantation is 186,457 ± 40,487 km 2 (3.8% ± 0.8% of Southeast Asia). Deforestation accounted for 3.0% ± 0.8% of Southeast Asia, equivalent to 148,511 ± 37,547 km 2 . Shifting cultivation has the lowest uncertainty among the change classes. Shifting cultivation mainly occurs in Myanmar, Laos, and Indonesia. New plantations mainly occur in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Myanmar. Deforestation mainly occurs in Indonesia, Cambodia, and Laos. New plantations increased significantly in 2006–2010 compared to 2001–2005, and then decreased after 2010. The area of deforestation decreased slightly from 2001 to 2010 and increased slightly from 2010 to 2020. Shifting cultivation has a moderately increasing trend over time. Our study provides important information on drivers of forest disturbance in Southeast Asia, which helps to improve decision-making for forest conservation and land management.

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoinformationVol. 148
Boston University (US), James Madison University (US), Marshall Space Flight Center (US), University of Massachusetts Boston (US)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 40%
Remote Sensing in Agriculture
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