A GAN-based power load forecasting method with adaptive distribution shift and frequency-aware mechanisms

To address the nonlinearity and non-stationarity inherent in power load series, this paper proposes an Adaptive Distribution-Shift- and Frequency-Aware Generative Adversarial Network (DFGAN) for power load forecasting. These characteristics often manifest as temporal statistical distribution shifts and complex frequency variations, which lead to reduced forecasting accuracy. To mitigate these issues, an adaptive distribution shift module based on Reversible Instance Normalization (RevIN) is integrated into the DFGAN generator, enabling learnable normalization and denormalization that mitigate statistical distribution inconsistencies. In addition, a frequency-aware mechanism implemented via Frequency-domain MLPs for Time Series (FreTS) is incorporated into the DFGAN generator to explicitly capture informative frequency components of power load series. Extensive experiments conducted on a real-world Suzhou power load dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed DFGAN. The results show that DFGAN achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of 14.8332, a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 20.6534, and an R² of 92.25%, outperforming state-of-the-art benchmark models.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Published
2026-03-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-026-00949-0
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A GAN-based power load forecasting method with adaptive distribution shift and frequency-aware mechanisms

Feng Xu, Jie Sun, Haolei Hu, Yong Zhang
Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

A GAN-based power load forecasting method with adaptive distribution shift and frequency-aware mechanisms

Feng Xu, Jie Sun, Haolei Hu, Yong Zhang
article en

Abstract

To address the nonlinearity and non-stationarity inherent in power load series, this paper proposes an Adaptive Distribution-Shift- and Frequency-Aware Generative Adversarial Network (DFGAN) for power load forecasting. These characteristics often manifest as temporal statistical distribution shifts and complex frequency variations, which lead to reduced forecasting accuracy. To mitigate these issues, an adaptive distribution shift module based on Reversible Instance Normalization (RevIN) is integrated into the DFGAN generator, enabling learnable normalization and denormalization that mitigate statistical distribution inconsistencies. In addition, a frequency-aware mechanism implemented via Frequency-domain MLPs for Time Series (FreTS) is incorporated into the DFGAN generator to explicitly capture informative frequency components of power load series. Extensive experiments conducted on a real-world Suzhou power load dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed DFGAN. The results show that DFGAN achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of 14.8332, a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 20.6534, and an R² of 92.25%, outperforming state-of-the-art benchmark models.

Journal of Engineering and Applied ScienceVol. 73(1)
Tianjin University of Commerce (CN), Honeywell (United States) (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin City
Openalex Percentile: Top 35%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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