Archeological data with AI- and physics-based modeling explain typhoon-induced disasters in inland China around 3000 yr B.P.

Climate change-related extreme events during the mid-late Holocene, especially around 3000 years before the present (yr B.P.), severely threatened human survival and cultural development at various locations. However, although marked social change during this period in China have also been reported to coincide with extreme disasters, the causes and impacts of these events remain unclear. Here, we aligned paleoclimate reconstructions with quantitative analyses of archeological evidence, including oracle bone scripts, together with artificial intelligence- and physics-based model simulations to uncover the causes. We found that intensified typhoon activities exerted considerable impacts on climate extremes and social change in inland China around 3000 yr B.P. These findings underscore the urgent need to improve preparedness for today's typhoon-induced disasters in the context of accelerating climate change.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-03-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aeb1598
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Archeological data with AI- and physics-based modeling explain typhoon-induced disasters in inland China around 3000 yr B.P.

Sijia Lou, Siyang Li, Lejun He, Aijun Ding et al.
Science Advances
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Archeological data with AI- and physics-based modeling explain typhoon-induced disasters in inland China around 3000 yr B.P.

Sijia Lou, Siyang Li, Lejun He, Aijun Ding, Derong Zhou, Xin Fa Qiu, Haoxian Lin, Shufen Zhang, Quansheng Ge, Xu Zhou, Xin Huang, Ke Ding, Dazhi Xi, Houyuan Lu, Congbin Fu, Jianping Zhang, Zhe-Min Tan, Xiaodong Tang, Yue Ma
article en

Abstract

Climate change-related extreme events during the mid-late Holocene, especially around 3000 years before the present (yr B.P.), severely threatened human survival and cultural development at various locations. However, although marked social change during this period in China have also been reported to coincide with extreme disasters, the causes and impacts of these events remain unclear. Here, we aligned paleoclimate reconstructions with quantitative analyses of archeological evidence, including oracle bone scripts, together with artificial intelligence- and physics-based model simulations to uncover the causes. We found that intensified typhoon activities exerted considerable impacts on climate extremes and social change in inland China around 3000 yr B.P. These findings underscore the urgent need to improve preparedness for today's typhoon-induced disasters in the context of accelerating climate change.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(10)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Jiangsu Provincial Meteorological Bureau (CN), Institute of Geology and Geophysics (CN), Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (CN), Nanjing University (CN), University of Hong Kong (HK)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 52%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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