A Novel Nomogram Integrating Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and Serum Prealbumin for Predicting Unplanned Readmission in Male Patients with Coexisting Lung Cancer and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
<b>Background:</b> Patients with coexisting lung cancer and COPD are highly susceptible to unplanned readmissions. This study aimed to develop and internally validate a robust predictive nomogram based on the "inflammation-nutrition-tumor" framework to quantify this risk. <b>Methods:</b> A retrospective cohort of 207 clinical episodes from male patients with lung cancer and COPD was analyzed. Participants were categorized into Planned Readmission (PR, <i>n</i> = 165) and Unplanned Readmission (UR, <i>n</i> = 42) groups. Independent risk factors were identified via univariate and multivariable analyses using Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE). A nomogram was subsequently constructed, and its performance was rigorously evaluated using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), calibration plots, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). <b>Results:</b> Multivariable GEE analysis demonstrated that the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) was a highly significant independent risk factor (OR for a 500-unit increase = 1.490, 95% CI: 1.234-1.798, <i>p</i> < 0.001). Advanced cancer stage (III-IV) was also a significant predictor (OR = 3.590, 95% CI: 1.301-9.909, <i>p</i> = 0.014), while prealbumin (OR = 0.950, 95% CI: 0.896-1.007, <i>p</i> = 0.087) was identified as a key nutritional predictor. The integrated four-variable nomogram (age, cancer stage, SII, prealbumin) demonstrated good discriminative ability with an AUC of 0.809 (95% CI: 0.733-0.885). The calibration plot indicated excellent agreement, and DCA confirmed a substantial clinical net benefit. <b>Conclusions:</b> This SII-based nomogram provides a reliable and practical tool for individualized risk stratification, facilitating targeted clinical interventions to mitigate unplanned readmission rates in this vulnerable population.
Authors
- Cuixia Niu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9400-8913)
- Xiuwei Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3666-6096)
- Hai Zhong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4451-4786)
- Bing Wan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7673-7389)
- Zhangmin Ke
- Yuting Wen
- Jian Yang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2590-2388)
- Xingran Du
- Li Wang
- Zhenjue Qian
Institutions
- Nanjing Jiangning Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Cancers
- Published
- 2026-03-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers18050824
- Primary Topic
- Inflammatory Biomarkers in Disease Prognosis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00