Democratizing climate change mitigation pathways using modernized stabilization wedges

Mitigating climate change requires broad societal buy-in. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) produce cost-optimal pathways, but these are complex and not easily customized to reflect individuals' preferences. Twenty years ago, the stabilization wedge framework introduced a simpler way to discuss decarbonization. Here, we modernized this framework, identifying 36 strategies, each with the potential to mitigate 4% of global emissions by 2050, and quantified their required scale of deployment. People can build personalized decarbonization pathways by choosing a portfolio of these strategies, with more than 6 trillion combinations that are able to limit global warming to 1.5°C. We assessed which strategies IAMs favor and found that they prioritize technological over behavioral and nature-based solutions, with limited agreement. This framework empowers a general audience to construct and debate pathways, by making informed choices that reflect objectives beyond cost-optimization.

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Journal
Science
Published
2026-03-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adr2118
Primary Topic
Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Democratizing climate change mitigation pathways using modernized stabilization wedges

Iain Staffell, Nathan Johnson
Science
Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
article

Democratizing climate change mitigation pathways using modernized stabilization wedges

Iain Staffell, Nathan Johnson
article en

Abstract

Mitigating climate change requires broad societal buy-in. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) produce cost-optimal pathways, but these are complex and not easily customized to reflect individuals' preferences. Twenty years ago, the stabilization wedge framework introduced a simpler way to discuss decarbonization. Here, we modernized this framework, identifying 36 strategies, each with the potential to mitigate 4% of global emissions by 2050, and quantified their required scale of deployment. People can build personalized decarbonization pathways by choosing a portfolio of these strategies, with more than 6 trillion combinations that are able to limit global warming to 1.5°C. We assessed which strategies IAMs favor and found that they prioritize technological over behavioral and nature-based solutions, with limited agreement. This framework empowers a general audience to construct and debate pathways, by making informed choices that reflect objectives beyond cost-optimization.

ScienceVol. 391(6789)
Imperial College London (GB)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 47%
Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
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