Experimentally calibrated multiscale model predicts schedule dependent drug combination effects

Therapeutic synergy emerges from interactions between molecular drug action, intracellular signaling, and tissue-level transport dynamics. We developed a multiscale model integrating these scales to predict schedule-dependent drug combination effect in the AGS cell line. Calibrated solely on single-drug growth curves, the model accurately predicted population-level outcomes of drug combinations without combination-specific training. This demonstrates the model's capacity to suggest mechanistic multiscale insights into the logic of drug combinations within the AGS cell line, establishing a computational platform for the systematic in silico exploration of virtual multiscale experiments on drug diffusion and dosing schedules. Cross-scale analysis revealed that combination therapy efficacy flows across scales: population-level pharmacokinetics dictate the sequence of molecular target engagement within individual cells, determining collective cell-fate decisions. Our simulations predict that inhibiting the PI3K/AKT axis before MEK is more effective than the reverse order, disabling a pro-survival rebound and locking cells into an apoptotic state. Ultimately, by capturing phenomena that single-scale approaches cannot, this framework generates translationally relevant hypotheses, providing a versatile platform for optimizing drug scheduling, formulation, and combination strategies where matched molecular Boolean models and phenotypic data are available.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Systems Biology and Applications
Published
2026-03-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-026-00669-4
Primary Topic
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Experimentally calibrated multiscale model predicts schedule dependent drug combination effects

Montagud Arnau, Miguel Ponce-de-Leon, Othmane Hayoun-Mya
npj Systems Biology and Applications
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
article

Experimentally calibrated multiscale model predicts schedule dependent drug combination effects

Montagud Arnau, Miguel Ponce-de-Leon, Othmane Hayoun-Mya
article en

Abstract

Therapeutic synergy emerges from interactions between molecular drug action, intracellular signaling, and tissue-level transport dynamics. We developed a multiscale model integrating these scales to predict schedule-dependent drug combination effect in the AGS cell line. Calibrated solely on single-drug growth curves, the model accurately predicted population-level outcomes of drug combinations without combination-specific training. This demonstrates the model's capacity to suggest mechanistic multiscale insights into the logic of drug combinations within the AGS cell line, establishing a computational platform for the systematic in silico exploration of virtual multiscale experiments on drug diffusion and dosing schedules. Cross-scale analysis revealed that combination therapy efficacy flows across scales: population-level pharmacokinetics dictate the sequence of molecular target engagement within individual cells, determining collective cell-fate decisions. Our simulations predict that inhibiting the PI3K/AKT axis before MEK is more effective than the reverse order, disabling a pro-survival rebound and locking cells into an apoptotic state. Ultimately, by capturing phenomena that single-scale approaches cannot, this framework generates translationally relevant hypotheses, providing a versatile platform for optimizing drug scheduling, formulation, and combination strategies where matched molecular Boolean models and phenotypic data are available.

npj Systems Biology and Applications
Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ES), Barcelona Supercomputing Center (ES), Institute for Integrative Systems Biology (ES), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (ES)
European Commission, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
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Experimentally calibrated multiscale model predicts schedule dependent drug combination effects — Montagud Arnau, Miguel Ponce-de-Leon, et al. · npj Systems Biology and Applications (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS