Experimentally calibrated multiscale model predicts schedule dependent drug combination effects
Therapeutic synergy emerges from interactions between molecular drug action, intracellular signaling, and tissue-level transport dynamics. We developed a multiscale model integrating these scales to predict schedule-dependent drug combination effect in the AGS cell line. Calibrated solely on single-drug growth curves, the model accurately predicted population-level outcomes of drug combinations without combination-specific training. This demonstrates the model's capacity to suggest mechanistic multiscale insights into the logic of drug combinations within the AGS cell line, establishing a computational platform for the systematic in silico exploration of virtual multiscale experiments on drug diffusion and dosing schedules. Cross-scale analysis revealed that combination therapy efficacy flows across scales: population-level pharmacokinetics dictate the sequence of molecular target engagement within individual cells, determining collective cell-fate decisions. Our simulations predict that inhibiting the PI3K/AKT axis before MEK is more effective than the reverse order, disabling a pro-survival rebound and locking cells into an apoptotic state. Ultimately, by capturing phenomena that single-scale approaches cannot, this framework generates translationally relevant hypotheses, providing a versatile platform for optimizing drug scheduling, formulation, and combination strategies where matched molecular Boolean models and phenotypic data are available.
Authors
- Montagud Arnau
- Miguel Ponce-de-Leon
- Othmane Hayoun-Mya (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8243-7051)
Institutions
- Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ES)
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center (ES)
- Institute for Integrative Systems Biology (ES)
- Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (ES)
Publication Details
- Journal
- npj Systems Biology and Applications
- Published
- 2026-03-03
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41540-026-00669-4
- Primary Topic
- Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- European Commission
- HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
- Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca