Economic evaluation of a digital symptom checker for endometriosis using a Markov decision process model

Digital symptom checkers (SCs) are increasingly used to support early symptom recognition and care-seeking, yet evidence on their cost-effectiveness remains limited. We conducted an economic evaluation of a digital SC for endometriosis, a prevalent but underdiagnosed condition, as a case study. We developed a Markov decision process model to compare the digital SC with the standard of care from a societal perspective. Over a 40-year horizon, the digital SC reduced diagnostic delay by 4.36 years, generated 0.049 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per person, saved $5196.22 in costs, and produced an incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) of $10,089.00 at a $100,000/QALY threshold. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings, with an INMB of $12,398.92 (95% CI: $11,893.11-$12,904.72). Scenario analyses showed that the SC remained cost-effective under a wide range of assumptions, with the greatest value realized when sensitivity and specificity were ≥0.7, compliance exceeded 45%, and a time horizon of at least 10 years. This study provides the first economic evaluation of a digital SC for endometriosis and illustrates when and how digital SCs can deliver value to patients and health systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Digital Medicine
Published
2026-03-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-025-02332-4
Primary Topic
Endometriosis Research and Treatment
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Economic evaluation of a digital symptom checker for endometriosis using a Markov decision process model

Jan Multmeier, Sergio Torres‐Rueda, Aidan Wickham, Liudmila Zhaunova et al.
npj Digital Medicine
Endometriosis Research and Treatment
article

Economic evaluation of a digital symptom checker for endometriosis using a Markov decision process model

Jan Multmeier, Sergio Torres‐Rueda, Aidan Wickham, Liudmila Zhaunova, Carley Prentice, András Meczner, Yihan Xu, Laura Kelly, Anna Klepchukova, Heorhi Stsefanovich
article en

Abstract

Digital symptom checkers (SCs) are increasingly used to support early symptom recognition and care-seeking, yet evidence on their cost-effectiveness remains limited. We conducted an economic evaluation of a digital SC for endometriosis, a prevalent but underdiagnosed condition, as a case study. We developed a Markov decision process model to compare the digital SC with the standard of care from a societal perspective. Over a 40-year horizon, the digital SC reduced diagnostic delay by 4.36 years, generated 0.049 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per person, saved $5196.22 in costs, and produced an incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) of $10,089.00 at a $100,000/QALY threshold. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings, with an INMB of $12,398.92 (95% CI: $11,893.11-$12,904.72). Scenario analyses showed that the SC remained cost-effective under a wide range of assumptions, with the greatest value realized when sensitivity and specificity were ≥0.7, compliance exceeded 45%, and a time horizon of at least 10 years. This study provides the first economic evaluation of a digital SC for endometriosis and illustrates when and how digital SCs can deliver value to patients and health systems.

npj Digital MedicineVol. 9(1)
Semmelweis University (HU), Department of Health and Social Care (GB), Leeds and York Partnership NHS Foundation Trust (GB), London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB), Total (Germany) (DE)
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Openalex Percentile: Top 33%
Endometriosis Research and Treatment
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