Unifying non-Markovian dynamics and agent heterogeneity in scalable stochastic networks

Stochastic processes underpin dynamics across biology, physics, epidemiology, and finance, yet accurately simulating them remains a major challenge. Classical approaches such as the Gillespie algorithm are exact for Markovian, time-independent systems, where propensities depend only on the current state and agents of a given type are statistically identical. While efficient, this framework misses a defining feature of many real systems: heterogeneity and memory at the level of individual agents. Cells may divide or differentiate on distinct intrinsic timescales, individuals may preferentially interact with specific partners, and inter-event-time distributions can deviate strongly from the exponential. We introduce MOSAIC (Modeling of Stochastic Agents with Individual Complexity), a general and scalable framework that embeds agent-specific properties directly into the dynamics. MOSAIC unifies heterogeneous rates, dynamic interaction preferences, and both Markovian and non-Markovian waiting-time distributions within a single stochastic formalism, while retaining Gillespie-like computational cost. Applications to delayed biochemical reactions, competitive immune-cell dynamics, and temporal social networks show that MOSAIC reproduces empirical features that existing methods either miss or capture only at prohibitive computational cost, establishing it as a practical tool for simulating heterogeneous stochastic systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2026-03-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69817-y
Primary Topic
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Unifying non-Markovian dynamics and agent heterogeneity in scalable stochastic networks

María Rodríguez Martínez, Miroslav Phan, Aurélien Pélissier, Didier Le Bail et al.
Nature Communications
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
article

Unifying non-Markovian dynamics and agent heterogeneity in scalable stochastic networks

María Rodríguez Martínez, Miroslav Phan, Aurélien Pélissier, Didier Le Bail, Niko Beerenwinkel
article en

Abstract

Stochastic processes underpin dynamics across biology, physics, epidemiology, and finance, yet accurately simulating them remains a major challenge. Classical approaches such as the Gillespie algorithm are exact for Markovian, time-independent systems, where propensities depend only on the current state and agents of a given type are statistically identical. While efficient, this framework misses a defining feature of many real systems: heterogeneity and memory at the level of individual agents. Cells may divide or differentiate on distinct intrinsic timescales, individuals may preferentially interact with specific partners, and inter-event-time distributions can deviate strongly from the exponential. We introduce MOSAIC (Modeling of Stochastic Agents with Individual Complexity), a general and scalable framework that embeds agent-specific properties directly into the dynamics. MOSAIC unifies heterogeneous rates, dynamic interaction preferences, and both Markovian and non-Markovian waiting-time distributions within a single stochastic formalism, while retaining Gillespie-like computational cost. Applications to delayed biochemical reactions, competitive immune-cell dynamics, and temporal social networks show that MOSAIC reproduces empirical features that existing methods either miss or capture only at prohibitive computational cost, establishing it as a practical tool for simulating heterogeneous stochastic systems.

Nature Communications
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Yale University (US), ETH Zurich (CH), IBM Research - Zurich (CH), Centre de Physique Théorique (FR), ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences (CH)
National Science Foundation, European Commission, Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 37%
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
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