Dynamic Time-Window Nash Equilibrium Strategies for Spacecraft Pursuit–Evasion Games Under Incomplete Strategies

Spacecraft pursuit–evasion in contested environments is complicated by strategic incompleteness: the evader can switch maneuvering modes and deploy multi-domain countermeasures that degrade the pursuer’s perception, leading to non-stationary information and distributionally ambiguous interference statistics. A dynamic time-window Nash equilibrium framework is developed for linearized Local Vertical Local Horizontal (LVLH) relative motion under interference-induced uncertainty. Perceptual degradation is modeled via an evidence–theoretic belief representation, and the Jensen–Shannon (JS) divergence is introduced to quantify discrepancies between nominal and interference-corrupted beliefs. The divergence metric drives an adaptive time-window partitioning policy and an uncertainty-aware running cost that balances nominal performance objectives with robustness regularization during high-degradation intervals. In each time window, sufficient conditions are provided for the existence of a local Nash equilibrium, and equilibrium strategies are characterized by the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs (HJBI) equation. A global consistency result is established: assuming state continuity, additive cost decomposition, and dynamic-programming compatibility at window boundaries, concatenating the window-wise equilibria yields a Nash equilibrium over the entire horizon. Unlike conventional receding-horizon differential games with a fixed replanning grid, the proposed policy partitions the horizon online in response to perceptual-degradation events and stitches adjacent windows through a continuation value. This boundary stitching enables the global consistency guarantee under additive costs and state continuity. To hedge against ambiguity in interference intensity, a variational distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem with moment-constrained ambiguity sets is formulated, and the dual worst-case distribution is derived. The resulting Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) system is reformulated as a finite-dimensional variational inequality, for which an accelerated Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) operator-splitting solver is proposed for efficient real-time computation. Numerical simulations validate the framework and demonstrate improved robustness and computational scalability under time-varying interference compared with fixed-window baselines.

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Publication Details

Journal
Machines
Published
2026-03-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14030280
Primary Topic
Guidance and Control Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Dynamic Time-Window Nash Equilibrium Strategies for Spacecraft Pursuit–Evasion Games Under Incomplete Strategies

Zengliang Han, Lei Sun, Panxing Huang, Yuhui Wang et al.
Machines
Guidance and Control Systems
article

Dynamic Time-Window Nash Equilibrium Strategies for Spacecraft Pursuit–Evasion Games Under Incomplete Strategies

Zengliang Han, Lei Sun, Panxing Huang, Yuhui Wang, Binpeng Tian
article en

Abstract

Spacecraft pursuit–evasion in contested environments is complicated by strategic incompleteness: the evader can switch maneuvering modes and deploy multi-domain countermeasures that degrade the pursuer’s perception, leading to non-stationary information and distributionally ambiguous interference statistics. A dynamic time-window Nash equilibrium framework is developed for linearized Local Vertical Local Horizontal (LVLH) relative motion under interference-induced uncertainty. Perceptual degradation is modeled via an evidence–theoretic belief representation, and the Jensen–Shannon (JS) divergence is introduced to quantify discrepancies between nominal and interference-corrupted beliefs. The divergence metric drives an adaptive time-window partitioning policy and an uncertainty-aware running cost that balances nominal performance objectives with robustness regularization during high-degradation intervals. In each time window, sufficient conditions are provided for the existence of a local Nash equilibrium, and equilibrium strategies are characterized by the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs (HJBI) equation. A global consistency result is established: assuming state continuity, additive cost decomposition, and dynamic-programming compatibility at window boundaries, concatenating the window-wise equilibria yields a Nash equilibrium over the entire horizon. Unlike conventional receding-horizon differential games with a fixed replanning grid, the proposed policy partitions the horizon online in response to perceptual-degradation events and stitches adjacent windows through a continuation value. This boundary stitching enables the global consistency guarantee under additive costs and state continuity. To hedge against ambiguity in interference intensity, a variational distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem with moment-constrained ambiguity sets is formulated, and the dual worst-case distribution is derived. The resulting Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) system is reformulated as a finite-dimensional variational inequality, for which an accelerated Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) operator-splitting solver is proposed for efficient real-time computation. Numerical simulations validate the framework and demonstrate improved robustness and computational scalability under time-varying interference compared with fixed-window baselines.

MachinesVol. 14(3)
Aviation Industry Corporation of China (China) (CN), Northwestern Polytechnical University (CN), China National Space Administration (CN), Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Government of Jiangsu Province, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, Chinese Aeronautical Establishment
Openalex Percentile: Top 40%
Guidance and Control Systems
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