Dynamics-informed machine learning for recovering extensive missing systems dynamics

Abstract Inevitable missing values in observational time series often hinder reliable data-driven modeling of complex systems across diverse domains. Recovery is essential yet challenging, particularly in high-dimensional systems where most variables can exhibit extensive intra-series missingness and widespread inter-variable missingness simultaneously. In this study, we introduce a dynamics-informed imputation framework, termed Full-Partial Reconstruction Mapping (FPRM). In contrast to traditional approaches that directly fit time series interdependences, the FPRM embeds intrinsic dynamical priors via state-space reconstruction and recovers multiple incomplete series by learning diffeomorphic topology between attractors from complete and incomplete data. We validate the FPRM on paradigmatic model systems (e.g., an ecology system, the ordinary Lorenz system, a coupled 120-dimensional (120D) Lorenz system, and a coupled 120D Rössler system and real-world datasets (e.g., road occupancy rate from transportation system, electroencephalogram (EEG) signals from neuroscience, exchange rates from finance, and wind speed from climate systems). Even in high-dimensional systems where only one variable is fully observed and all others suffer from extreme missingness (e.g., 90%), the FPRM enables reliable imputation of multiple incomplete variables—a task that challenges most existing approaches. This dynamics-guided framework outperforms traditional approaches, alleviating substantial data gaps and enabling robust data-driven paradigms for complex dynamical systems.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2026-09-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-77922-1
Primary Topic
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
article

Dynamics-informed machine learning for recovering extensive missing systems dynamics

Xiangyun Gao, Kazuyuki Aihara, Jürgen Kurths, Tao Wu et al.
Nature Communications
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
article

Dynamics-informed machine learning for recovering extensive missing systems dynamics

Xiangyun Gao, Kazuyuki Aihara, Jürgen Kurths, Tao Wu, Ying Tang, Feng An, Xiaotian Sun, Haizhong An
article en

Abstract

Abstract Inevitable missing values in observational time series often hinder reliable data-driven modeling of complex systems across diverse domains. Recovery is essential yet challenging, particularly in high-dimensional systems where most variables can exhibit extensive intra-series missingness and widespread inter-variable missingness simultaneously. In this study, we introduce a dynamics-informed imputation framework, termed Full-Partial Reconstruction Mapping (FPRM). In contrast to traditional approaches that directly fit time series interdependences, the FPRM embeds intrinsic dynamical priors via state-space reconstruction and recovers multiple incomplete series by learning diffeomorphic topology between attractors from complete and incomplete data. We validate the FPRM on paradigmatic model systems (e.g., an ecology system, the ordinary Lorenz system, a coupled 120-dimensional (120D) Lorenz system, and a coupled 120D Rössler system and real-world datasets (e.g., road occupancy rate from transportation system, electroencephalogram (EEG) signals from neuroscience, exchange rates from finance, and wind speed from climate systems). Even in high-dimensional systems where only one variable is fully observed and all others suffer from extreme missingness (e.g., 90%), the FPRM enables reliable imputation of multiple incomplete variables—a task that challenges most existing approaches. This dynamics-guided framework outperforms traditional approaches, alleviating substantial data gaps and enabling robust data-driven paradigms for complex dynamical systems.

Nature Communications
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Dynamics-informed machine learning for recovering extensive missing systems dynamics — Xiangyun Gao, Kazuyuki Aihara, et al. · Nature Communications (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS