Smart Mobility Analytics: Inferring Transport Modes and Sustainability Metrics from GPS Data and Machine Learning

Urban sustainable mobility requires understanding how people travel, which modes they use, and what impacts these choices generate. This study proposes a smart mobility analytics framework that integrates GPS traces, dynamic traffic variables, and machine learning to infer transport modes and sustainability metrics in Cuenca, Ecuador. Geospatial and kinematic data were collected at 1 Hz from 50 participants over four working weeks, yielding 8.99 million samples across five modes: walking, cycling, tram, bus, and private vehicles. A compact subset of physical and spatial predictors, derived from speed, acceleration, jerk, longitudinal forces, and distance to public transport routes, was selected using the Football Optimization Algorithm. A classification tree trained with a 70/15/15 train–validation–test split achieved an overall accuracy of 84.2%, with class precisions of about 99% for pedestrian and bicycle, 93% for tram, 76% for private vehicles, and 64% for bus. The classified trajectories show that walking and cycling account for approximately 65% of total travel time but only 2% of total distance and 1.7% of CO2 emissions, whereas motorized modes generate more than 98% of emissions. Buses contribute nearly four times more CO2 than private vehicles, despite carrying a larger passenger volume. The proposed framework delivers detailed, policy-relevant indicators to support low-carbon urban transport strategies.