Control of overpopulated tails in kinetic epidemic models

In this paper, we introduce model-based transition rates for controlled compartmental models in mathematical epidemiology, with a focus on the effects of control strategies applied to interacting multi-agent systems describing contact formation dynamics. In the framework of kinetic control problems, we compare two prototypical control protocols: one additive control directly influencing the dynamics and another targeting the interaction strength between agents. The emerging controlled macroscopic models are derived for an SIR compartmentalization to illustrate their impact on epidemic progression and contact interaction dynamics. Numerical results show the effectiveness of this approach in steering the dynamics and controlling epidemic trends, even in scenarios, where contact distributions exhibit an overpopulated tail.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hyperbolic Differential Equations
Published
2026-02-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219891626400072
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
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article

Control of overpopulated tails in kinetic epidemic models

Andrea Medaglia, Mattia Zanella
Journal of Hyperbolic Differential Equations
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Control of overpopulated tails in kinetic epidemic models

Andrea Medaglia, Mattia Zanella
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce model-based transition rates for controlled compartmental models in mathematical epidemiology, with a focus on the effects of control strategies applied to interacting multi-agent systems describing contact formation dynamics. In the framework of kinetic control problems, we compare two prototypical control protocols: one additive control directly influencing the dynamics and another targeting the interaction strength between agents. The emerging controlled macroscopic models are derived for an SIR compartmentalization to illustrate their impact on epidemic progression and contact interaction dynamics. Numerical results show the effectiveness of this approach in steering the dynamics and controlling epidemic trends, even in scenarios, where contact distributions exhibit an overpopulated tail.

Journal of Hyperbolic Differential EquationsVol. 23(01)
University of Ferrara (IT), University of Pavia (IT)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 44%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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