Millennial land carbon emissions in China offset by carbon sinks of the past four decades
China experienced substantial millennial-scale climate and anthropogenic land use changes, yet their combined impacts on land carbon dynamics remain largely unexamined. Here, we quantify spatiotemporal changes in terrestrial organic carbon over 851-2022 using a land surface model driven by reconstructed climate and land cover forcings. Simulated results show China's pre-industrial millennial land carbon dynamics aligned with global carbon stock and atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> fluctuations, such as the ~284 ppm peak in the 12th century linked to land use during the Medieval Climate Anomaly-warmed Song Dynasty. Notably, China's total land carbon emissions (13 ± 0.5 PgC) accounted for 22% of global land carbon emissions during 1700-1900, with Northeast and Southwest China experiencing the largest historical land carbon losses from intensive deforestation. Nevertheless, the 17.0 ± 1.7 PgC emissions during 851-1980 were fully offset by rapid carbon sinks over 1980-2022, driven by CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization and large-scale afforestation. These findings provide insights into China's historical land carbon dynamics, their underlying drivers, and global implications.
Authors
- Weizhe Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5126-3810)
- Kailiang Yu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0145-0356)
- N. Viovy
- Liangcheng Tan
- Philippe Ciais
- Shicheng Li
Institutions
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (FR)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives (FR)
- Université Paris-Saclay (FR)
- China University of Geosciences (CN)
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (FR)
- CEA Paris-Saclay (FR)
- Institute of Earth Environment (CN)
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2026-02-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70049-3
- Primary Topic
- Tree-ring climate responses
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Grand Équipement National De Calcul Intensif