Central Limit Theorems for Random Walks in Random Environments with Memory and Correlated Noises: Theory and Applications to Sequential Decision Making

We establish quenched and annealed functional central limit theorems for discrete-time random walks in random environments that exhibit temporal memory and spatially corre- lated noise. The environment is a stationary ergodic process satisfying á-mixing or path-cone mixing conditions. Under uniform ellipticity and moment assumptions, we prove that the scaled walk converges to a Brownian motion with an explicit diÐusion matrix. The proofs combine regeneration techniques adapted to dependent environments, martingale approxi- mation, and novel coupling arguments. We derive non-asymptotic Wasserstein bounds and apply the results to uncertainty quantiÑcation in algorithmic trading and reinforcement learning. A detailed case study on predicting unseen species using Good{Toulmin estima- tors illustrates the practical relevance. Numerical experiments with PyTorch conÑrm the theoretical predictions.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-02-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18783955
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
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article

Central Limit Theorems for Random Walks in Random Environments with Memory and Correlated Noises: Theory and Applications to Sequential Decision Making

Anton Tuzov
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Stochastic processes and financial applications
article

Central Limit Theorems for Random Walks in Random Environments with Memory and Correlated Noises: Theory and Applications to Sequential Decision Making

Anton Tuzov
article en

Abstract

We establish quenched and annealed functional central limit theorems for discrete-time random walks in random environments that exhibit temporal memory and spatially corre- lated noise. The environment is a stationary ergodic process satisfying á-mixing or path-cone mixing conditions. Under uniform ellipticity and moment assumptions, we prove that the scaled walk converges to a Brownian motion with an explicit diÐusion matrix. The proofs combine regeneration techniques adapted to dependent environments, martingale approxi- mation, and novel coupling arguments. We derive non-asymptotic Wasserstein bounds and apply the results to uncertainty quantiÑcation in algorithmic trading and reinforcement learning. A detailed case study on predicting unseen species using Good{Toulmin estima- tors illustrates the practical relevance. Numerical experiments with PyTorch conÑrm the theoretical predictions.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
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Stochastic processes and financial applications
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