A comparative empirical study of relative embedding alignment in neural dynamical system forecasters

We study representation alignment in neural forecasters using anchor-based, geometry-agnostic \textbackslash emph\textbraceleft relative embeddings\textbraceright{} that remove rotational and scaling ambiguities, enabling robust cross-seed and cross-architecture comparisons. Across diverse periodic, quasi-periodic, and chaotic systems and a range of forecasters (MLPs, RNNs, Transformers, Neural ODE/Koopman, ESNs), we find consistent family-level patterns: MLPs align with MLPs, RNNs align strongly, Transformers align least with others, and ESNs show reduced alignment on several chaotic systems. Alignment generally tracks forecasting accuracy---higher similarity predicts lower multi-step MSE---yet strong performance can occur with weaker alignment (notably for Transformers). Relative embeddings thus provide a practical, reproducible basis for comparing learned dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society)
Published
2025-11-21
Primary Topic
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A comparative empirical study of relative embedding alignment in neural dynamical system forecasters

D. Kücükahmetler, M. Amthor, N. ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4003-9121 Scherf, J. von Aehrenfeld et al.
MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society)
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
article

A comparative empirical study of relative embedding alignment in neural dynamical system forecasters

D. Kücükahmetler, M. Amthor, N. ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4003-9121 Scherf, J. von Aehrenfeld, D. Taha, C. Deubel, M. Hemmann
article en

Abstract

We study representation alignment in neural forecasters using anchor-based, geometry-agnostic \textbackslash emph\textbraceleft relative embeddings\textbraceright{} that remove rotational and scaling ambiguities, enabling robust cross-seed and cross-architecture comparisons. Across diverse periodic, quasi-periodic, and chaotic systems and a range of forecasters (MLPs, RNNs, Transformers, Neural ODE/Koopman, ESNs), we find consistent family-level patterns: MLPs align with MLPs, RNNs align strongly, Transformers align least with others, and ESNs show reduced alignment on several chaotic systems. Alignment generally tracks forecasting accuracy---higher similarity predicts lower multi-step MSE---yet strong performance can occur with weaker alignment (notably for Transformers). Relative embeddings thus provide a practical, reproducible basis for comparing learned dynamics.

MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society)
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Model Reduction and Neural Networks
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