Supervising Sentiment Models: Market Signals or Human Expertise?

We build a framework to examine how the training regime-rather than model architecture-drives the performance of financial sentiment models. Using firm-level news and parsimonious classifiers, we compare three supervision regimes: human-only, hybrid, and market-only (fully automated). The framework opens the "black box" of sentiment modeling by tracing how supervision shapes each component of the classifier. Across extensive tests, the hybrid regime consistently outperforms fully automated training in explaining variation in stock returns and trading volume, enhancing interpretability and economic relevance. Human input improves sentiment inference, offering new insights into information processing and price formation in financial markets.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Published
2025-10-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.127768
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Supervising Sentiment Models: Market Signals or Human Expertise?

N. Babolmorad, N. Massoud
Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Supervising Sentiment Models: Market Signals or Human Expertise?

N. Babolmorad, N. Massoud
article en

Abstract

We build a framework to examine how the training regime-rather than model architecture-drives the performance of financial sentiment models. Using firm-level news and parsimonious classifiers, we compare three supervision regimes: human-only, hybrid, and market-only (fully automated). The framework opens the "black box" of sentiment modeling by tracing how supervision shapes each component of the classifier. Across extensive tests, the hybrid regime consistently outperforms fully automated training in explaining variation in stock returns and trading volume, enhancing interpretability and economic relevance. Human input improves sentiment inference, offering new insights into information processing and price formation in financial markets.

Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Supervising Sentiment Models: Market Signals or Human Expertise? — N. Babolmorad, N. Massoud · Apollo (University of Cambridge) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS