Avoiding unemployment in a post-growth economy

There is increasing concern about rising unemployment in early industrialised countries, arising from low economic growth or the emergence of new labour-displacing technologies, notably AI. Post-growth economics has explored a number of strategies to prevent unemployment, such as working time reductions. This paper contributes to this discussion, focusing on two strategies. The first strategy involves a shift in the composition of output towards labour-intensive services. It is argued that Baumol's cost disease may be less problematic for this strategy than is commonly believed. The second strategy involves re-orienting production towards more labour-intensive processes (taking the composition of output as fixed). This strategy has received less attention, partly because it appears to involve rising costs of production. Drawing on insights from post-Keynesian and institutional economics, this paper argues that under some circumstances more labour-intensive production processes can be adopted without increasing unit costs.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecological Economics
Published
2026-02-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108974
Primary Topic
World Systems and Global Transformations
Type
article
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article

Avoiding unemployment in a post-growth economy

Jonathan S. Aldred
Ecological Economics
World Systems and Global Transformations
article

Avoiding unemployment in a post-growth economy

Jonathan S. Aldred
article en

Abstract

There is increasing concern about rising unemployment in early industrialised countries, arising from low economic growth or the emergence of new labour-displacing technologies, notably AI. Post-growth economics has explored a number of strategies to prevent unemployment, such as working time reductions. This paper contributes to this discussion, focusing on two strategies. The first strategy involves a shift in the composition of output towards labour-intensive services. It is argued that Baumol's cost disease may be less problematic for this strategy than is commonly believed. The second strategy involves re-orienting production towards more labour-intensive processes (taking the composition of output as fixed). This strategy has received less attention, partly because it appears to involve rising costs of production. Drawing on insights from post-Keynesian and institutional economics, this paper argues that under some circumstances more labour-intensive production processes can be adopted without increasing unit costs.

Ecological EconomicsVol. 244
University of Cambridge (GB)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 46%
World Systems and Global Transformations
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