Heat Stress Metrics for US Census Tracts 1998–2020
Extreme heat exposure is a growing public health threat. Heat-health research has commonly used dry-bulb temperature to characterize heat exposure, partly due to limited availability of spatially explicit, public-health-aligned datasets that integrate multiple meteorological factors to quantify heat stress. We address this gap by providing hourly Heat Index (HI), Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT), and Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) for U.S. census tract boundaries across the contiguous United States from 1998-2020. Heat-stress fields were generated by integrating PRISM, ERA5-Land, and National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) products, with near-surface temperature and moisture fields reconstructed and ancillary variables interpolated to a harmonized 800-m grid. Heat-stress indices were computed using validated physical models and aggregated to census tracts using area- and population-weighted methods. Validation against station networks shows stable performance for sample year 2010 May-September, with air-temperature root mean squared error (RMSE) of 1.70 °C, Heat Index RMSE of 3.20 °C, WBGT RMSE of 2.90 °C, and UTCI RMSE of 3.26 °C. These tract-level hourly heat-stress datasets enable direct linkage with public health data.
Authors
- Gary W. Evans (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4649-9287)
- Timur Dogan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0749-8465)
- Rouzbeh Rahai (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5573-1236)
- Qinqin Kong
- Nancy M. Wells
Institutions
- Cornell University (US)
- Palo Alto Institute (US)
- New York State University College of Human Ecology (US)
- Stanford University (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Data
- Published
- 2026-02-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06909-w
- Primary Topic
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute of Nursing Research
- National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities