Matters arising: statistical overfitting and outcome discordance undermine the claimed superiority of T2 fusion for shoulder balance in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

A recent study by Li et al. evaluated shoulder balance in Lenke type 2 adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and concluded that the ratio of proximal to main thoracic curve (PTC/MTC) correction independently predicts postoperative shoulder imbalance (PSI), further suggesting that fusion to T2 provides superior shoulder balance compared with fusion to T3/4. A re-examination of the study's methodology indicates that these conclusions are compromised by two principal limitations: (1) statistical overfitting and quasi-separation within the multivariable logistic regression model used to identify predictors of PSI, and (2) lack of alignment between radiographic findings and patient-reported outcomes. These methodological and interpretive issues are well recognized in the clinical and statistical literature, and addressing them is essential for ensuring valid inference and accurate clinical interpretation.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMC Surgery
Published
2026-02-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12893-026-03550-7
Primary Topic
Scoliosis diagnosis and treatment
Type
article
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article

Matters arising: statistical overfitting and outcome discordance undermine the claimed superiority of T2 fusion for shoulder balance in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

Iakiv Fishchenko, Audai Abudayeh
BMC Surgery
Scoliosis diagnosis and treatment
article

Matters arising: statistical overfitting and outcome discordance undermine the claimed superiority of T2 fusion for shoulder balance in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

Iakiv Fishchenko, Audai Abudayeh
article en

Abstract

A recent study by Li et al. evaluated shoulder balance in Lenke type 2 adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and concluded that the ratio of proximal to main thoracic curve (PTC/MTC) correction independently predicts postoperative shoulder imbalance (PSI), further suggesting that fusion to T2 provides superior shoulder balance compared with fusion to T3/4. A re-examination of the study's methodology indicates that these conclusions are compromised by two principal limitations: (1) statistical overfitting and quasi-separation within the multivariable logistic regression model used to identify predictors of PSI, and (2) lack of alignment between radiographic findings and patient-reported outcomes. These methodological and interpretive issues are well recognized in the clinical and statistical literature, and addressing them is essential for ensuring valid inference and accurate clinical interpretation.

BMC SurgeryVol. 26(1)
State Institution «Academician O.F.Vozianov Institute of Urology of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine» (UA), Bogomolets National Medical University (UA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 44%
Scoliosis diagnosis and treatment
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