A Heat Budget of the Mar Menor Lagoon, Spain

The Mar Menor is the second largest coastal lagoon in the Mediterranean Sea, with a surface area of about 136 km2. It is restricted from the open sea by a sandy barrier system (La Manga) interrupted by three tidal inlets. As a result of high evaporation, it is hypersaline (42–47 ppt) in parts. This study examines the factors leading to the rise in sea surface temperature in the Mar Menor through an analysis of long-term sea surface temperature using HadSST1.1 data together with shorter-term Moderate-Resolution Imaging Radiometer and Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature data. A thermal box model has been constructed for the lagoon in an attempt to balance major heat sources and sinks. Additionally, a thermal probe was deployed in 0.3 m of water to evaluate the benthic flux of heat of the shelly fine sand that covers the lagoon seabed. The results show that the vertical thermal gradient in the seabed inverts between the day and night. Prior to circa 1977, there was no clear trend in SST, and variations were strongly associated with the Atlantic Mutidecadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Post circa 1980, the maximum summertime sea surface temperature showed a steady increase of 0.34 °C/decade. The cross-correlation of SST in the Mar Menor with external drivers showed that it is dominated by the sea surface temperature of the Western Mediterranean, followed by local air temperature, with a minor contribution from the Indian Ocean Dipole. No other significant correlations were evident, suggesting that local temperature was dominated by local drivers. In addition, a Spearman rank order evaluation and principal component analysis showed that the general trends of the Mar Menor SST were also influenced by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, CO2, and GDP.