Earth-Scale Precursors of the Kamchatka Earthquake Revealed via Polarization Monitoring in Undersea Mediterranean Optical Fiber Links

<p>By tracking the state of polarization in submarine optical cables carrying live traffic across the Mediterranean Sea, we unambiguously detected the signature of the recent <span>Mw</span> 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake in two independent optical links. Moreover, distinct precursors of the earthquake were observed in multiple cables within the same region. Their distance of roughly 9,000~km from the epicenter unequivocally indicates that the earthquake preparation was governed by Earth-scale processes, whose nature remains unknown. We conjecture that the excitation of Earth’s normal modes by solid tides may explain this global-scale behavior. These results demonstrate the potential of submarine optical fiber links as highly sensitive geophysical observatories, opening new perspectives for understanding earthquake dynamics and developing future early warning systems.</p>

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Optica
Published
2026-02-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1364/optica.586317
Primary Topic
earthquake and tectonic studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Earth-Scale Precursors of the Kamchatka Earthquake Revealed via Polarization Monitoring in Undersea Mediterranean Optical Fiber Links

Luca Palmieri, Cristian Antonelli, A. Mecozzi, Danilo Decaroli et al.
Optica
earthquake and tectonic studies
article

Earth-Scale Precursors of the Kamchatka Earthquake Revealed via Polarization Monitoring in Undersea Mediterranean Optical Fiber Links

Luca Palmieri, Cristian Antonelli, A. Mecozzi, Danilo Decaroli, Giuseppe Parisi, Antonio Napoli, Alberto Marullo, Luca Schenato, Carlo Doglioni, Mohammad Mehdi Hosseini
article en

Abstract

<p>By tracking the state of polarization in submarine optical cables carrying live traffic across the Mediterranean Sea, we unambiguously detected the signature of the recent <span>Mw</span> 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake in two independent optical links. Moreover, distinct precursors of the earthquake were observed in multiple cables within the same region. Their distance of roughly 9,000~km from the epicenter unequivocally indicates that the earthquake preparation was governed by Earth-scale processes, whose nature remains unknown. We conjecture that the excitation of Earth’s normal modes by solid tides may explain this global-scale behavior. These results demonstrate the potential of submarine optical fiber links as highly sensitive geophysical observatories, opening new perspectives for understanding earthquake dynamics and developing future early warning systems.</p>

Optica
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