A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Multi-Pollutant Air Quality Assessment in Urban Environments

Urban air quality assessment is central to environmental sustainability and public health management. This study presents a structured comparative evaluation of Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), LSTM, and Bi-LSTM models for pollutant-driven air quality classification under the Indian National Air Quality Index (NAQI) framework defined by CPCB guidelines. To provide a fair comparison, multi-pollutant data of Indian urban monitoring stations were preprocessed, and the class-balancing protocol and validation protocol were combined. RF had highest total accuracy (0.9971) in the held-out set, with Bi-LSTM (0.9615), LSTM (0.9495), and SVM (0.9442) coming next. Although ensemble methods proved to be very separable in line with the threshold-based NAQI structure, Bi-LSTM was more stable when it came to boundary-sensitive switches among the adjacent severity classes. Calibration analysis (multiclass Brier score: 0.08) showed consistent probabilistic behavior and interpretation, and using SHAP showed physically significant pollutant driving factors. The results explain the appropriateness of comparative models in organized AQI classification and present a reproducible assessment framework for the NAQI framework.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainability
Published
2026-02-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su18042148
Primary Topic
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Multi-Pollutant Air Quality Assessment in Urban Environments

Ashfaq Ahmad, Muzzamil Mustafa, Maaz Akhtar, Badil Nisar et al.
Sustainability
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
article

A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Multi-Pollutant Air Quality Assessment in Urban Environments

Ashfaq Ahmad, Muzzamil Mustafa, Maaz Akhtar, Badil Nisar, Barun Haldar, Fahad Javaid
article en

Abstract

Urban air quality assessment is central to environmental sustainability and public health management. This study presents a structured comparative evaluation of Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), LSTM, and Bi-LSTM models for pollutant-driven air quality classification under the Indian National Air Quality Index (NAQI) framework defined by CPCB guidelines. To provide a fair comparison, multi-pollutant data of Indian urban monitoring stations were preprocessed, and the class-balancing protocol and validation protocol were combined. RF had highest total accuracy (0.9971) in the held-out set, with Bi-LSTM (0.9615), LSTM (0.9495), and SVM (0.9442) coming next. Although ensemble methods proved to be very separable in line with the threshold-based NAQI structure, Bi-LSTM was more stable when it came to boundary-sensitive switches among the adjacent severity classes. Calibration analysis (multiclass Brier score: 0.08) showed consistent probabilistic behavior and interpretation, and using SHAP showed physically significant pollutant driving factors. The results explain the appropriateness of comparative models in organized AQI classification and present a reproducible assessment framework for the NAQI framework.

SustainabilityVol. 18(4)
University of Engineering and Technology Lahore (PK), Imam Mohammad ibn Saud Islamic University (SA), University of L'Aquila (IT), University of Management and Technology (PK), University of Business and Technology (SA)
Al-Imam Muhammad Ibn Saud Islamic University
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 53%
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
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