Topological Data Analysis of Departure Delay Co-occurrence in Japanese Domestic Aviation System

We introduce a topological data analysis (TDA) framework to characterize departure‐delay co-occurrence in Japan’s domestic airline networks. By constructing a delay‐based filtration on daily delayed flight networks for All Nippon Airways (ANA) and Japan Airlines (JAL), we track how airports form delay co-occurrence loops through persistent homology using Vietoris–Rips complex filtration technique. We find JAL’s network is more fragmented, while ANA shows wider, longer-lasting delay loops before COVID-19. In winter, airports take longer to join into connected groups, and delay loops last longer. During COVID-19, delays shrink for both airlines. As flights recover, multi-airport loops return, and some last longer than before. Tokyo Haneda Airport and its primary feeder airports emerge as central to the most delay loops, suggesting targeted buffering and schedule adjustments at these airports. Our findings demonstrate TDA’s unique ability to uncover higher‐order delay dynamics and assist departure delay management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Data Science for Transportation
Published
2026-02-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42421-026-00150-y
Primary Topic
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Topological Data Analysis of Departure Delay Co-occurrence in Japanese Domestic Aviation System

Kashin Sugishita, Shinya Hanaoka, Soumik Nafis Sadeek
Data Science for Transportation
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
article

Topological Data Analysis of Departure Delay Co-occurrence in Japanese Domestic Aviation System

Kashin Sugishita, Shinya Hanaoka, Soumik Nafis Sadeek
article en

Abstract

We introduce a topological data analysis (TDA) framework to characterize departure‐delay co-occurrence in Japan’s domestic airline networks. By constructing a delay‐based filtration on daily delayed flight networks for All Nippon Airways (ANA) and Japan Airlines (JAL), we track how airports form delay co-occurrence loops through persistent homology using Vietoris–Rips complex filtration technique. We find JAL’s network is more fragmented, while ANA shows wider, longer-lasting delay loops before COVID-19. In winter, airports take longer to join into connected groups, and delay loops last longer. During COVID-19, delays shrink for both airlines. As flights recover, multi-airport loops return, and some last longer than before. Tokyo Haneda Airport and its primary feeder airports emerge as central to the most delay loops, suggesting targeted buffering and schedule adjustments at these airports. Our findings demonstrate TDA’s unique ability to uncover higher‐order delay dynamics and assist departure delay management strategies.

Data Science for TransportationVol. 8(1)
Japan Science Society (JP), International University of Business Agriculture and Technology (BD)
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
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