<i> <b>T</b> </i> -periodic dynamics in a 3D delayed quasispecies model

We study periodic dynamics and error-threshold behavior in a delayed quasispecies model consisting of a master sequence <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> and two mutant populations <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math>. The system, formulated as delay differential equations with time-periodic replication rates, yields new conditions for the existence and absence of <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math>-periodic solutions. Using topological degree arguments, we show that when mutation probabilities <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mi>ji</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> lie strictly between 0 and 1 and at least one fitness function <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> is periodic, the system supports nontrivial positive periodic orbits, with or without backward mutations. This shows that fluctuating environments, such as circadian or treatment-induced cycles, can sustain oscillatory genotype distributions. Conversely, if mutations are strictly unidirectional and the master sequence is consistently dominated in fitness, no positive <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math>-periodic orbit arises. In this regime, the master sequence decays monotonically to extinction without time delays, while time delays induce non-monotonic decay, recovering the classical error-threshold phenomenon and linking it to cancer-related quasispecies dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Biological Dynamics
Published
2026-02-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2026.2631218
Primary Topic
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
Type
article
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article

T -periodic dynamics in a 3D delayed quasispecies model

Edward A. Turner, Nolbert Morales, Jorge L. Zapata
Journal of Biological Dynamics
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
article

T -periodic dynamics in a 3D delayed quasispecies model

Edward A. Turner, Nolbert Morales, Jorge L. Zapata
article en

Abstract

We study periodic dynamics and error-threshold behavior in a delayed quasispecies model consisting of a master sequence <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> and two mutant populations <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math>. The system, formulated as delay differential equations with time-periodic replication rates, yields new conditions for the existence and absence of <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math>-periodic solutions. Using topological degree arguments, we show that when mutation probabilities <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mi>ji</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> lie strictly between 0 and 1 and at least one fitness function <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math> is periodic, the system supports nontrivial positive periodic orbits, with or without backward mutations. This shows that fluctuating environments, such as circadian or treatment-induced cycles, can sustain oscillatory genotype distributions. Conversely, if mutations are strictly unidirectional and the master sequence is consistently dominated in fitness, no positive <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math>-periodic orbit arises. In this regime, the master sequence decays monotonically to extinction without time delays, while time delays induce non-monotonic decay, recovering the classical error-threshold phenomenon and linking it to cancer-related quasispecies dynamics.

Journal of Biological DynamicsVol. 20(1)
San Sebastián University (CL), Viña del Mar University (CL), Universidad del Mar (CL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 44%
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
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