Critical heat flux prediction: A new approach adapting multi physics-aided machine learning

Critical Heat Flux (CHF) is a fundamental safety parameter in high-heat-flux equipment, but its prediction is complicated by multiple underlying mechanisms (e.g., departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) in bubbly flow, dryout in annular flow, etc.). Conventional approaches like empirical correlations, look-up tables, and mechanistic models are often constrained by their applicability to certain flow regimes or CHF mechanisms. Recently, machine learning (ML) methods have received attention for the ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships from data. While physics-aided machine learning (PAML) integrates a physical model within ML to overcome the limitation of purely data-driven tactics, conventional PAML relies on a single physical model, biasing predictions towards its specific CHF mechanism. A novel framework adapting multiple physical models within ML framework for diverse flow boiling conditions, termed as multi-physics aided machine learning (MPAML) is proposed for accurate CHF prediction. A large database (26,894 points) has been accumulated for training and validation of the framework. Two physical models, Katto (1984) correlation and Liu (2000) models chosen as representative of dryout and DNB CHF mechanisms are integrated within neural network (NN) to develop the framework. This framework shows good accuracy while prediction in multi-CHF mechanism regions. Physical behavior analysis of CHF in terms of mass flux, pressure, inlet subcooling, diameter and length-to-diameter ratio shows better physics information inheritance capability of this framework over other frameworks in multi-CHF mechanisms. The findings display that MPAML mitigates bias in CHF estimation and outperforms traditional PAML methods, offering higher prediction accuracy and broader applicability across various CHF mechanisms. • A new framework combining multiple physical models and ML for better CHF prediction technique. • Accounts for limitation of conventional Physics-aided Machine Learning (PAML). • Exhibits superior integration of physical knowledge than pure machine learning (ML) and conventional PAML frameworks. • Reliable prediction capacity in both DNB and dryout CHF mechanisms. • Reflects the framework's strength in seamlessly integrating multiple physical insights within ML's data-driven power.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Communications in Heat and Mass Transfer
Published
2026-02-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icheatmasstransfer.2026.110879
Primary Topic
Heat Transfer and Boiling Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Critical heat flux prediction: A new approach adapting multi physics-aided machine learning

Kiyoshi Morita, Wei Liu, Abdullah Al Mahmud
International Communications in Heat and Mass Transfer
Heat Transfer and Boiling Studies
article

Critical heat flux prediction: A new approach adapting multi physics-aided machine learning

Kiyoshi Morita, Wei Liu, Abdullah Al Mahmud
article en

Abstract

Critical Heat Flux (CHF) is a fundamental safety parameter in high-heat-flux equipment, but its prediction is complicated by multiple underlying mechanisms (e.g., departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) in bubbly flow, dryout in annular flow, etc.). Conventional approaches like empirical correlations, look-up tables, and mechanistic models are often constrained by their applicability to certain flow regimes or CHF mechanisms. Recently, machine learning (ML) methods have received attention for the ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships from data. While physics-aided machine learning (PAML) integrates a physical model within ML to overcome the limitation of purely data-driven tactics, conventional PAML relies on a single physical model, biasing predictions towards its specific CHF mechanism. A novel framework adapting multiple physical models within ML framework for diverse flow boiling conditions, termed as multi-physics aided machine learning (MPAML) is proposed for accurate CHF prediction. A large database (26,894 points) has been accumulated for training and validation of the framework. Two physical models, Katto (1984) correlation and Liu (2000) models chosen as representative of dryout and DNB CHF mechanisms are integrated within neural network (NN) to develop the framework. This framework shows good accuracy while prediction in multi-CHF mechanism regions. Physical behavior analysis of CHF in terms of mass flux, pressure, inlet subcooling, diameter and length-to-diameter ratio shows better physics information inheritance capability of this framework over other frameworks in multi-CHF mechanisms. The findings display that MPAML mitigates bias in CHF estimation and outperforms traditional PAML methods, offering higher prediction accuracy and broader applicability across various CHF mechanisms. • A new framework combining multiple physical models and ML for better CHF prediction technique. • Accounts for limitation of conventional Physics-aided Machine Learning (PAML). • Exhibits superior integration of physical knowledge than pure machine learning (ML) and conventional PAML frameworks. • Reliable prediction capacity in both DNB and dryout CHF mechanisms. • Reflects the framework's strength in seamlessly integrating multiple physical insights within ML's data-driven power.

International Communications in Heat and Mass TransferVol. 173
Kyushu University (JP), Bangladesh Atomic Energy Commission (BD)
Openalex Percentile: Top 48%
Heat Transfer and Boiling Studies
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