Sensitivity of the Hyper-Kamiokande experiment to neutrino oscillation parameters using accelerator neutrinos
Abstract This paper presents the expected sensitivity to the neutrino oscillation parameters of the Hyper-Kamiokande long-baseline program. The Hyper-Kamiokande experiment, currently under construction in Japan, will measure the oscillations of accelerator-produced neutrinos with thousands of selected events per sample: this corresponds to an increase of statistics of a factor 25–100 with respect to recent results from the currently-running long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment in Japan, T2K. In the most favorable scenario we will achieve the discovery of Charge-Parity (CP) violation in neutrino oscillation at $$5\sigma $$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:mn>5</mml:mn> <mml:mi>σ</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> C.L. in less than 3 years. With 10 years of data-taking, and assuming a neutrino : antineutrino beam running ratio of 1:3, a CP violation discovery at $$5\sigma $$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:mn>5</mml:mn> <mml:mi>σ</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> C.L. is possible for more than 60% of the actual values of the CP-violating phase, $$\delta _{CP}.$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:msub> <mml:mi>δ</mml:mi> <mml:mrow> <mml:mi>CP</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> </mml:msub> <mml:mo>.</mml:mo> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> Moreover, we will measure $$\delta _{CP}$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:msub> <mml:mi>δ</mml:mi> <mml:mrow> <mml:mi>CP</mml:mi> </mml:mrow> </mml:msub> </mml:math> with a precision ranging from 20 $$^{\circ },$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:mmultiscripts> <mml:mrow/> <mml:mrow/> <mml:mo>∘</mml:mo> </mml:mmultiscripts> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> in the case of maximal CP violation, to 6 $$^{\circ },$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:mmultiscripts> <mml:mrow/> <mml:mrow/> <mml:mo>∘</mml:mo> </mml:mmultiscripts> <mml:mo>,</mml:mo> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> in the case of CP conservation. We aim to achieve a 0.5% resolution on the $$\Delta m^2_{32}$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:mi>Δ</mml:mi> <mml:msubsup> <mml:mi>m</mml:mi> <mml:mn>32</mml:mn> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> </mml:msubsup> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> parameter, and a resolution between 3% and 0.5% on the $$\sin ^2\theta _{23}$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mrow> <mml:msup> <mml:mo>sin</mml:mo> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> </mml:msup> <mml:msub> <mml:mi>θ</mml:mi> <mml:mn>23</mml:mn> </mml:msub> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> parameter, depending on its true value. These results are obtained by extending the analysis methods of T2K with dedicated tuning to take into account the Hyper-Kamiokande design: the larger far detector, the more powerful beam, the upgraded near detector ND280, and the planned additional Intermediate Water Cherenkov Detector.
Authors
- G. Galiński (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0223-3265)
- S.C. Joshi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-0713-7361)
- K. Ieki (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7791-5044)
- L. Koerich
- L. Ludovici (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1970-9960)
- Adrien Blanchet (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4992-0161)
- A. Rychter (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9666-5394)
- A. Giampaolo
- Hua Hua
- P. Ferrario (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4244-2483)
- K. Ishidoshiro (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9271-2301)
- Alberto Longhin
- M. Scott (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1759-4453)
- E. De la Fuente (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9643-4134)
- G. Burton (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5377-323X)
- C. Bozza (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1797-6451)
- M. Daoud (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8494-2796)
- Michael J. Scott (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3643-3505)
- V. Mikola (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1974-0012)
- John B. Kisiel (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3840-5324)
- M. Batkiewicz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0376-9363)
- A. Di Nitto (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9319-366X)
- R. Matsumoto (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4995-9242)
- Davide Bianco (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-0447)
- K. Ninomiya
- Timothy C. Doyle (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3899-1239)
- G. Eurin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4511-3960)
- J. Renner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1843-2015)
- A. Blondel
- A. De Lorenzis (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3830-702X)
- A. Tarrant (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8750-4759)
- M. Suchenek (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1865-2894)
- M. Pari (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1852-9549)
- R. Gornea
- D. Vivolo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4773-2116)
- T. Mondal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9445-1405)
- Grzegorz Zarnecki
- S. Choubey
- M. Mattiazzi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3900-6816)
- O. Vallmajó
- Erin O’Sullivan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1882-8802)
- S. Cuen-Rochin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5855-0927)
- S. Arimoto (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6722-1321)
- S. Wronka (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3277-138X)
- Miroslav Cieslar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2801-3810)
- Nikolay Ivanov Kolev (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7317-4960)
- C. M. Schloesser (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3372-6268)
- M. Cicerchia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8216-7186)
- A. Minamino (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6510-7106)
- Magdalena Dobrzyńska (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1470-2639)
- A. Bubak (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7643-1534)
- R. Elmansali
- K. Lachner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7615-4052)
- Reetanjali Moharana
- Prantik Sarmah (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3159-7148)
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Institutions
- University of Pisa (IT)
- Warsaw University of Technology (PL)
- University of Geneva (CH)
- Louisiana State University (US)
- Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ES)
- Uppsala University (SE)
- Mohammed V University (MA)
- Jagiellonian University (PL)
- Tezpur University (IN)
- Rutherford Appleton Laboratory (GB)
- University of Salerno (IT)
- Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati (IN)
- Institute of International Education (US)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- University of Padua (IT)
- High Energy Accelerator Research Organization (JP)
- Seoul National University (KR)
- École Polytechnique (FR)
- Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur (IN)
- University of Liverpool (GB)
- Miyagi University of Education (JP)
- Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur (IN)
- Dongshin University (KR)
- Stockholm University (SE)
- Okayama University (JP)
- Universidad de Oviedo (ES)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- British Columbia Institute of Technology (CA)
- Yokohama National University (JP)
- King's College London (GB)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- Institute for High Energy Physics (ES)
- York University (CA)
- Universidad de Guadalajara (MX)
- University of Regina (CA)
- Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (ES)
- The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, SOKENDAI (JP)
- Tohoku University (JP)
- National Centre of Scientific Research "Demokritos" (GR)
- Keio University (JP)
- University of Victoria (CA)
- Kyoto University (JP)
- University of Utah (US)
- Universitat de Girona (ES)
- Universidad de Zaragoza (ES)
- Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro (BR)
- Université Paris-Saclay (FR)
- Australian Regenerative Medicine Institute (AU)
- Japan Proton Accelerator Research Complex (JP)
- Italian Aerospace Research Centre (IT)
- University of California System (US)
- Université Ibn-Tofail (MA)
- Kyiv National University of Technologies and Design (UA)
- Kyungpook National University (KR)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology (KR)
- University of Warwick (GB)
- Sorbonne Université (FR)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Shanghai Institute for Science of Science (CN)
- Institute for Theoretical Physics and Modeling (AM)
- Chonnam National University Hospital (KR)
- National Centre for Nuclear Research (PL)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Padova (IT)
- International Planned Parenthood Federation (IN)
- Institute of Nuclear Physics, Polish Academy of Sciences (PL)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Napoli (IT)
- Nippon Soken (Japan) (JP)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Bari (IT)
- The Polytechnic University of Japan (JP)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Laboratori Nazionali di Legnaro (IT)
- Canfranc Underground Laboratory (ES)
- Université Mohammed VI Polytechnique (MA)
- Nicolaus Copernicus Astronomical Center (PL)
- ORCID (US)
- Astronomy and Space (AU)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Roma I (IT)
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Pisa (IT)
- Quantum Technologies (Sweden) (SE)
- University of Toyama (JP)
- Osaka Metropolitan University (JP)
- Laboratoire Médiations (FR)
- Institute of Science Tokyo (JP)
- University of Warsaw (PL)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Donostia International Physics Center (ES)
- Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (KR)
- Monash University (AU)
- Universitat Politècnica de València (ES)
- Nagoya University (JP)
- Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (ES)
- Kobe University (JP)
- Carleton University (CA)
- Lancaster University (GB)
- AGH University of Krakow (PL)
- Polytechnic University of Bari (IT)
- Tokyo Metropolitan University (JP)
- Palacký University Olomouc (CZ)
- University of Naples Federico II (IT)
- The University of Tokyo (JP)
- S.N. Bose National Centre for Basic Sciences (IN)
- University of Glasgow (GB)
- Tokyo International University (JP)
- Sungkyunkwan University (KR)
- Virginia Tech (US)
- University of Silesia in Katowice (PL)
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology (SE)
- The University of Winnipeg (CA)
- RWTH Aachen University (DE)
- University of Sheffield (GB)
- Tecnológico de Monterrey (MX)
- University of Hassan II Casablanca (MA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- The European Physical Journal C
- Published
- 2026-02-23
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-025-14938-9
- Primary Topic
- Neutrino Physics Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Univerzita Karlova v Praze
- CERN
- UK Research and Innovation
- Centres de Recerca de Catalunya
- Leverhulme Trust
- European Commission
- National Research Foundation
- Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
- Branco Weiss Fellowship – Society in Science
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
- Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
- Generalitat de Catalunya
- Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
- National Research Foundation of Korea
- Ministerstwo Edukacji i Nauki
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
- Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación
- Forskningsrådet om Hälsa, Arbetsliv och Välfärd
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
- Science and Technology Facilities Council
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
- Agencia Estatal de Investigación
- Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules