Machine learning-based prediction of persistent diabetic macular edema using OCT-derived structural biomarkers and clinical features

Machine learning models integrating OCT-derived structural biomarkers with clinical features provide superior predictive accuracy for persistent DME compared with conventional models. SHAP-based interpretation consistently identified diabetes duration, EZ/ELM disruption, and HF as key predictors. Among the developed models, SVM achieved the highest AUC in the internal validation cohort, whereas XGBoost and RF provided a favorable balance between predictive performance and interpretability, supporting their potential use in individualized treatment planning.

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Publication Details

Journal
European journal of medical research
Published
2026-02-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s40001-026-04064-x
Primary Topic
Retinal Diseases and Treatments
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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OCT
article

Machine learning-based prediction of persistent diabetic macular edema using OCT-derived structural biomarkers and clinical features

Xiaoliang Zhang, Wei Sun, Guangping Gao, Wei Shen
European journal of medical research
Retinal Diseases and Treatments
article

Machine learning-based prediction of persistent diabetic macular edema using OCT-derived structural biomarkers and clinical features

Xiaoliang Zhang, Wei Sun, Guangping Gao, Wei Shen
article en

Abstract

Machine learning models integrating OCT-derived structural biomarkers with clinical features provide superior predictive accuracy for persistent DME compared with conventional models. SHAP-based interpretation consistently identified diabetes duration, EZ/ELM disruption, and HF as key predictors. Among the developed models, SVM achieved the highest AUC in the internal validation cohort, whereas XGBoost and RF provided a favorable balance between predictive performance and interpretability, supporting their potential use in individualized treatment planning.

European journal of medical researchVol. 31(1)
Second Military Medical University (CN), Eye & ENT Hospital of Fudan University (CN), Changhai Hospital (CN)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions, Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 48%
Retinal Diseases and Treatments
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