Identifying structural vector autoregressions via non-Gaussianity of potentially dependent shocks

Abstract We complement previous partial global identification results for the non-Gaussian SVAR model by showing that in the absence of co-skewness among the strucural shocks, the skewed shocks are identified and in the absence of excess co-kurtosis, the shocks with nonzero excess kurtosis are identified. The former case has the advantage that dependent conditional heteroskedasticity is allowed for. In each case, the remaining shocks are set identified, and these results can be combined to identify both skewed and non-mesokurtic shocks. To capture the non-Gaussian features of the data, versatile error distributions must be specified. We discuss the Bayesian implementation of an SVAR model with skewed t-distributed errors that exhibit dependent stochastic volatility, including the assessment of identification and checking the validity of exogenous instruments potentially used for identification. The methods are illustrated in an empirical application to U.S. monetary policy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometrics Journal
Published
2026-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/ectj/utag002
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

Identifying structural vector autoregressions via non-Gaussianity of potentially dependent shocks

Markku Lanne, Jani Luoto, Keyan Liu
Econometrics Journal
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Identifying structural vector autoregressions via non-Gaussianity of potentially dependent shocks

Markku Lanne, Jani Luoto, Keyan Liu
article en

Abstract

Abstract We complement previous partial global identification results for the non-Gaussian SVAR model by showing that in the absence of co-skewness among the strucural shocks, the skewed shocks are identified and in the absence of excess co-kurtosis, the shocks with nonzero excess kurtosis are identified. The former case has the advantage that dependent conditional heteroskedasticity is allowed for. In each case, the remaining shocks are set identified, and these results can be combined to identify both skewed and non-mesokurtic shocks. To capture the non-Gaussian features of the data, versatile error distributions must be specified. We discuss the Bayesian implementation of an SVAR model with skewed t-distributed errors that exhibit dependent stochastic volatility, including the assessment of identification and checking the validity of exogenous instruments potentially used for identification. The methods are illustrated in an empirical application to U.S. monetary policy.

Econometrics Journal
University of Helsinki (FI), Wuhan University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 53%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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