Estimation and Analysis of the Reduction in CO2 Equivalent from the Replacement of Public Transport Buses with Electric Ones in the Cities of Chillán and Chillán Viejo

This study addresses the environmental problems stemming from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from public transportation in the cities of Chillán and Chillán Viejo. Specifically, it analyzes emissions from fossil-fuel-powered buses, which contribute to climate change and negatively affect people’s quality of life. Given this situation, the need to reduce these emissions and move towards more sustainable mobility systems is recognized. The main objective of this research is to estimate the CO2-equivalent reduction that could be achieved by replacing fossil-fuel-powered public transportation with electric vehicles in the aforementioned cities. To this end, the ISO 14064 methodology is used, subject to specific scope and limitations. This study reviews key aspects, including current environmental legislation, Chile’s international commitments regarding climate change, and the state of emissions in the transportation sector, to illustrate the current state of electromobility in Chile. Finally, the impact of the transition to electromobility in public passenger transport by bus is quantified, resulting in a reduction of 9429 tons of CO2 equivalent emissions, equivalent to 63.4% compared to the 2023 bus fleet, considering the average emission factor of the national electricity system for 2023. The proposal consists of implementing a 100% electric bus public transport system, highlighting its advantages in reducing emissions, improving energy efficiency, improving air quality, and reducing noise pollution. However, this requires a significant financial investment of approximately USD 57 million, excluding public charging stations for electric buses. Furthermore, public policies offering means of accelerating the transition of public transport in Chile are analyzed.