Systemic acceleration capacity in net-zero transitions: electrifying transportation in California

Accelerating net-zero transitions requires deliberate governance. We examine the deliberate acceleration of net-zero transitions through a case study of California's governance of private vehicle electrification. Our analysis integrates the literatures on policy mixes and political institutions to offer a novel explanation for how California has effectively expedited its net-zero transition to electric cars. We base our inductive analysis on evidence from 47 expert interviews conducted in 2022-23. We argue that California's systemic acceleration capacity has two core components: first, an effective policy mix that harnesses the accelerating forces of creative destruction, and second, specific path-dependent political institutions that have enabled this respective policy mix. Together, these two components have contributed to California's state capacity to accelerate its technology substitution pathway away from internal combustion engines. California's climate technocracy offers critical lessons for other jurisdictions seeking to speed up similar net-zero transitions.