A thermal resistance prediction model for heterogeneous integrated chips incorporating an AI-based BP neural network

To address the thermal management challenges in heterogeneous integrated chip design, this study proposed an intelligent thermal resistance prediction model that integrated physical mechanisms with a backpropagation (BP) neural network. Unlike traditional black-box data-driven approaches, the proposed method was grounded in fundamental heat transfer principles and systematically constructed a physics-informed feature set encompassing geometric configurations, material properties, power distribution, and boundary conditions. Domain knowledge was explicitly encoded into the neural network architecture by introducing a physics-constrained layer with weight sign constraints and an attention-based feature interaction layer. Within a multi-task learning framework, the model simultaneously optimized the prediction of total thermal resistance, maximum temperature, and temperature non-uniformity. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed model significantly outperformed baseline methods on the test set. Specifically, the coefficient of determination (R2) for total thermal resistance prediction reached 0.982, with a mean squared error of 0.021 K2/W2 and a mean absolute error of 0.103 K/W. For maximum temperature prediction, the R2 value reached 0.969. Compared with a single-task model that predicted only total thermal resistance, the multi-task architecture improved the primary task performance by 0.004. This study provided a fast, accurate, and physically interpretable intelligent tool for chip thermal design, and offered a valuable practical example of physics-informed machine learning applied to complex engineering problems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-40640-1
Primary Topic
Thermal properties of materials
Type
article
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article

A thermal resistance prediction model for heterogeneous integrated chips incorporating an AI-based BP neural network

Shuai Xu, Longjian Guo, Ying Li
Scientific Reports
Thermal properties of materials
article

A thermal resistance prediction model for heterogeneous integrated chips incorporating an AI-based BP neural network

Shuai Xu, Longjian Guo, Ying Li
article en

Abstract

To address the thermal management challenges in heterogeneous integrated chip design, this study proposed an intelligent thermal resistance prediction model that integrated physical mechanisms with a backpropagation (BP) neural network. Unlike traditional black-box data-driven approaches, the proposed method was grounded in fundamental heat transfer principles and systematically constructed a physics-informed feature set encompassing geometric configurations, material properties, power distribution, and boundary conditions. Domain knowledge was explicitly encoded into the neural network architecture by introducing a physics-constrained layer with weight sign constraints and an attention-based feature interaction layer. Within a multi-task learning framework, the model simultaneously optimized the prediction of total thermal resistance, maximum temperature, and temperature non-uniformity. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed model significantly outperformed baseline methods on the test set. Specifically, the coefficient of determination (R2) for total thermal resistance prediction reached 0.982, with a mean squared error of 0.021 K2/W2 and a mean absolute error of 0.103 K/W. For maximum temperature prediction, the R2 value reached 0.969. Compared with a single-task model that predicted only total thermal resistance, the multi-task architecture improved the primary task performance by 0.004. This study provided a fast, accurate, and physically interpretable intelligent tool for chip thermal design, and offered a valuable practical example of physics-informed machine learning applied to complex engineering problems.

Scientific ReportsVol. 16(1)
Shandong University of Technology (CN), Shandong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 52%
Thermal properties of materials
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A thermal resistance prediction model for heterogeneous integrated chips incorporating an AI-based BP neural network — Shuai Xu, Longjian Guo, et al. · Scientific Reports (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS