Interpreting Environmental Dynamics through Machine Learning: A Multi-Scale Analytical Framework.

Environmental systems are characterized by high-dimensional, non-linear interactions across atmospheric, hydrological, and terrestrial domains. Traditional mechanistic models, while robust in theory, often struggle with the sheer scale and noise of modern sensor data, frequently falling victim to "parameterization lag" where sub-grid processes—such as convective cloud formation, localized turbulence, or soil-canopy moisture exchange—are oversimplified into static coefficients. This article explores the paradigm shift toward machine learning (ML) for interpreting complex environmental dynamics. We present a multi-scale framework utilizing Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) networks for capturing spatial-temporal fluid dynamics and Random Forests for high-resolution terrestrial feature importance. Furthermore, we address the "black box" nature of these models using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to bridge the gap between statistical correlation and physical causality. Our results demonstrate a 15-22% improvement in predictive accuracy for localized weather events and air quality fluctuations compared to standard numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, offering a scalable path toward enhanced climate resilience, precision agriculture, and real-time disaster mitigation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18680149
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
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article

Interpreting Environmental Dynamics through Machine Learning: A Multi-Scale Analytical Framework.

Sarah Mitchell, Harshavardhana Doddamani, Wei Chen, Dr.Sudhakara Reddy M
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Interpreting Environmental Dynamics through Machine Learning: A Multi-Scale Analytical Framework.

Sarah Mitchell, Harshavardhana Doddamani, Wei Chen, Dr.Sudhakara Reddy M
article en

Abstract

Environmental systems are characterized by high-dimensional, non-linear interactions across atmospheric, hydrological, and terrestrial domains. Traditional mechanistic models, while robust in theory, often struggle with the sheer scale and noise of modern sensor data, frequently falling victim to "parameterization lag" where sub-grid processes—such as convective cloud formation, localized turbulence, or soil-canopy moisture exchange—are oversimplified into static coefficients. This article explores the paradigm shift toward machine learning (ML) for interpreting complex environmental dynamics. We present a multi-scale framework utilizing Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) networks for capturing spatial-temporal fluid dynamics and Random Forests for high-resolution terrestrial feature importance. Furthermore, we address the "black box" nature of these models using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to bridge the gap between statistical correlation and physical causality. Our results demonstrate a 15-22% improvement in predictive accuracy for localized weather events and air quality fluctuations compared to standard numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, offering a scalable path toward enhanced climate resilience, precision agriculture, and real-time disaster mitigation.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Acharya Nagarjuna University (IN), State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science (CN), Stanford University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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