Prediction of landslide susceptibility through ANN models optimized by evolutionary algorithms

Landslide susceptibility mapping is a critical task for risk management, yet many existing approaches struggle with limited accuracy and model instability. To address these challenges, this study develops a hybrid Artificial Neural Network (ANN) framework optimized with four metaheuristic algorithms (BHA, COA, MVO, and VSA). The case study is conducted in East Azerbaijan Province, Iran, a region with sufficient landslide records for robust testing. The results show that the optimized ANN models achieved strong predictive performance, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) values ​​exceeding 0.97 across training datasets. Among them, the MVO-MLP and COA-MLP models yielded the highest accuracy, highlighting the advantage of optimization in enhancing model robustness. Overall, the developed models predict landslide occurrence with more than 80% accuracy. These findings suggest that integrating optimization algorithms with neural networks provides a reliable, cost-effective approach for spatial modeling of landslide susceptibility. Furthermore, the proposed framework offers valuable insights for disaster preparedness, risk reduction, and emergency management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-02-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-39458-8
Primary Topic
Landslides and related hazards
Type
article
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article

Prediction of landslide susceptibility through ANN models optimized by evolutionary algorithms

Mehmet Akif Çifçi, Hossein Ahmadi Dehrashid, ágov, Batuhan Öney et al.
Scientific Reports
Landslides and related hazards
article

Prediction of landslide susceptibility through ANN models optimized by evolutionary algorithms

Mehmet Akif Çifçi, Hossein Ahmadi Dehrashid, ágov, Batuhan Öney, Hossein Moayedi, Xin Hu
article en

Abstract

Landslide susceptibility mapping is a critical task for risk management, yet many existing approaches struggle with limited accuracy and model instability. To address these challenges, this study develops a hybrid Artificial Neural Network (ANN) framework optimized with four metaheuristic algorithms (BHA, COA, MVO, and VSA). The case study is conducted in East Azerbaijan Province, Iran, a region with sufficient landslide records for robust testing. The results show that the optimized ANN models achieved strong predictive performance, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) values ​​exceeding 0.97 across training datasets. Among them, the MVO-MLP and COA-MLP models yielded the highest accuracy, highlighting the advantage of optimization in enhancing model robustness. Overall, the developed models predict landslide occurrence with more than 80% accuracy. These findings suggest that integrating optimization algorithms with neural networks provides a reliable, cost-effective approach for spatial modeling of landslide susceptibility. Furthermore, the proposed framework offers valuable insights for disaster preparedness, risk reduction, and emergency management strategies.

Scientific ReportsVol. 16(1)
VSB - Technical University of Ostrava (CZ), Duy Tan University (VN), Dokuz Eylül University (TR), University of Tehran (IR), Bandırma Onyedi Eylül University (TR), Klaipėdos valstybinė kolegija / Higher Education Institution (LT), NSW Forestry Corporation (AU), Istinye University (TR)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 61%
Landslides and related hazards
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Prediction of landslide susceptibility through ANN models optimized by evolutionary algorithms — Mehmet Akif Çifçi, Hossein Ahmadi Dehrashid, et al. · Scientific Reports (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS