What do thermal indices lack to help predict heat-related risk in elite Athletics?

The risk of EHS is particularly high during elite endurance events in Athletics. While EHS was greater with higher WBGT and radiant temperatures, neither provided sufficient predictive accuracy for heat-related risk in elite endurance athletes. Future models should consider other factors such as heat acclimatisation and recent illness to enhance predictive ability.

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Publication Details

Journal
British Journal of Sports Medicine
Published
2026-02-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2025-110822
Primary Topic
Thermoregulation and physiological responses
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

What do thermal indices lack to help predict heat-related risk in elite Athletics?

Andreas Matzarakis, Jan Kowalski, Paolo Emilio Adami, David Bandiera et al.
British Journal of Sports Medicine
Thermoregulation and physiological responses
article

What do thermal indices lack to help predict heat-related risk in elite Athletics?

Andreas Matzarakis, Jan Kowalski, Paolo Emilio Adami, David Bandiera, Antonio Tessitore, Yannis Pitsiladis, Stéphane Bermon, Frédéric Garrandes, Sebastien Racinais
article en

Abstract

The risk of EHS is particularly high during elite endurance events in Athletics. While EHS was greater with higher WBGT and radiant temperatures, neither provided sufficient predictive accuracy for heat-related risk in elite endurance athletes. Future models should consider other factors such as heat acclimatisation and recent illness to enhance predictive ability.

British Journal of Sports MedicineVol. 60(7)
Statistics Sweden (SE), Hong Kong Baptist University (HK), International University of Monaco (MC), Democritus University of Thrace (GR), University of Freiburg (DE), Université Côte d'Azur (FR), Foro Italico University of Rome (IT), Laboratoire Motricité Humaine Éducation Sport Santé (FR), Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 51%
Thermoregulation and physiological responses
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What do thermal indices lack to help predict heat-related risk in elite Athletics? — Andreas Matzarakis, Jan Kowalski, et al. · British Journal of Sports Medicine (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS