Spatiotemporal noise stabilizes unbounded diversity in strongly competitive communities

Classical ecological models predict that diverse communities should be unstable, presenting a central challenge to explaining the stable biodiversity seen in nature. We revisit this long-standing problem by extending the generalized Lotka–Volterra model to include both spatial structure and environmental fluctuations across space and time. We find that neither space nor environmental noise alone can resolve the tension between diversity and stability, but that together they permit arbitrarily many species to stably coexist in a sufficiently large system, despite strongly disordered competitive interactions. We analytically characterize the noise-induced transition to coexistence, showing that spatiotemporal noise drives power-law abundance fluctuations, leading to an anomalous scaling of moments known empirically as Taylor’s law. At the metacommunity level, this manifests as an emergent sublinear self-inhibition that stabilizes diversity and renders the interaction disorder irrelevant in the high-diversity limit. Spatiotemporal noise thus provides a resolution to the diversity-stability paradox and a generic mechanism by which complex communities can persist.

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Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2026-10-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2619598123
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Spatiotemporal noise stabilizes unbounded diversity in strongly competitive communities

Jeff Gore, MEHRAN KARDAR, Amer Al-Hiyasat, Daniel W. Swartz
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Spatiotemporal noise stabilizes unbounded diversity in strongly competitive communities

Jeff Gore, MEHRAN KARDAR, Amer Al-Hiyasat, Daniel W. Swartz
article en

Abstract

Classical ecological models predict that diverse communities should be unstable, presenting a central challenge to explaining the stable biodiversity seen in nature. We revisit this long-standing problem by extending the generalized Lotka–Volterra model to include both spatial structure and environmental fluctuations across space and time. We find that neither space nor environmental noise alone can resolve the tension between diversity and stability, but that together they permit arbitrarily many species to stably coexist in a sufficiently large system, despite strongly disordered competitive interactions. We analytically characterize the noise-induced transition to coexistence, showing that spatiotemporal noise drives power-law abundance fluctuations, leading to an anomalous scaling of moments known empirically as Taylor’s law. At the metacommunity level, this manifests as an emergent sublinear self-inhibition that stabilizes diversity and renders the interaction disorder irrelevant in the high-diversity limit. Spatiotemporal noise thus provides a resolution to the diversity-stability paradox and a generic mechanism by which complex communities can persist.

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 123(41)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
National Science Foundation
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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Spatiotemporal noise stabilizes unbounded diversity in strongly competitive communities — Jeff Gore, MEHRAN KARDAR, et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS