Correction: Revealing urban-rural sustainability dynamics based on multi-source data and machine learning: spatio-temporal hotspots, driving mechanisms, and non-linear thresholds in Suzhou, China

Urbanisation is one of the primary drivers of land-use transformation in contemporary society, reshaping both urban and rural landscapes throughout the 20th century (Nuissl and Siedentop, 2021). Although urbanisation drives economic growth and infrastructure advancement, it simultaneously leads to extensive transitions from rural to urban land uses, inevitably posing profound challenges to the sustainable development of land-use systems, particularly in peri-urban areas (Fu et al., 2021). These transitional zones, situated between urban and rural systems, integrate land, ecological resources, and human activities related to production and living. They are critical components of regional development (Zhang et al., 2020) and have significant impacts on human health and well-being (Barton, 2009). In the Chinese context, these processes unfold against a longstanding institutional separation between urban and rural areas, shaped by the household registration (hukou) system, differentiated land-use practices, economic structures and socio-cultural characteristics (Li, 2012).Rapid urbanisation has accelerated land-use transformations in peri-urban areas, shifting landscapes from primarily agricultural functions toward residential, industrial, and commercial uses. Development models focused on economic growth, to some extent, overlook the land-use conflicts resulting from such expansion and exacerbate their negative impacts (He et al., 2020).Existing studies on urban-rural land-use transitions can be broadly categorised into two perspectives. The first perspective examines how land-use change in peri-urban areas reshapes economic, ecological and social outcomes. Empirical work has assessed the efficiency and effectiveness of land-use transformation (Fu et al., 2021), the ecological consequences of land-use changes and land-use intensity (Wu et al., 2024;Xu et al., 2020), and broader sustainability implications, including environmental degradation, habitat fragmentation and the loss of cultural landscape identity (Shao et al., 2020;Xu et al., 2020). International research further highlights that unsustainable land-use transformations in rural areas during urbanisation can lead to displacement (Salem et al., 2020), infrastructure deficits, and widening socioeconomic disparities (Dadashpoor and Ahani, 2019). Taken together, this perspective demonstrates that peri-urban land-use transitions are crucial to the sustainability of urban-rural regions and have a direct impact on human well-being. However, most studies address economic, ecological and social dimensions separately or treat them as loosely connected outcome indicators, paying limited attention to how these dimensions interact and co-evolve over time. As a result, the coupled dynamics of "coordination-conflict" between land-use transitions and multi-dimensional sustainability outcomes remain insufficiently understood, particularly in rapidly urbanising contexts such as China.A second perspective focuses on governance arrangements, planning instruments and assessment frameworks for managing land-use change in urban-rural interfaces. Scholars have highlighted that current landuse transformation processes are often governed by fragmented and overlapping institutional regimes, leading to overlapping jurisdictions, inefficient decision-making and weak coordination across administrative boundaries (Perrin et al., 2018). Additionally, Follmann et al. (2021) and Ahani and Dadashpoor (2021) note that existing peri-urban land-use assessment and management frameworks fail to address the dynamic realities of urbanisation, creating loopholes for informal land speculation, unauthorised urban expansion, and environmental degradation. Although this line of research has significantly advanced the understanding of governance deficits and institutional complexity, it tends to emphasise qualitative institutional analysis or singledimensional indicators. However, the foundation of sustainable development lies in the coordination between economic, social, and environmental factors, with the core being the balance between ecological considerations and other dimensions (Gan et al., 2020;Li et al., 2022). There is a lack of attention to operational, quantitative frameworks that can systematically link land-use structures to economic vitality, ecological quality, and social well-being, and that can identify when and how urban-rural systems shift from coordinated development to conflictual outcomes (Buzási and Csete, 2017;Keith et al., 2023). Consequently, despite a substantial body of work on land-use transformation, ecological impacts, planning and control mechanisms, a comprehensive evaluation framework that integrates these dimensions to support sustainable development remains lacking (Salem et al., 2025).In addition to these theoretical gaps, there are notable limitations in the methodological approaches employed in the existing research. Currently, three categories of quantitative approaches are commonly used to evaluate urban-rural sustainability and land-use dynamics. The first category comprises statistical and spatial econometric models, including fixed-effects and random-effects models, as well as spatial panel specifications.The Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) has been widely used to identify spatial spillover effects and the impacts of neighbouring areas, serving as a key tool for evaluating the efficiency and driving factors of land use structure. (Luge et al., 2025). These models offer clear parameter interpretations and a solid theoretical foundation for analysing directional relationships and spillover effects. However, their reliance on linearity and global stationarity limits their capacity to capture non-linear interactions, high-order effects and complex spatial heterogeneity, and model stability can be compromised when the underlying processes are strongly nonstationary.The second category centres on geographically weighted regression (GWR) and its extensions, such as multi-scale regression methods (MGWR), which are used to address spatial non-stationarity by allowing coefficient estimates to vary across space (Wu et al., 2025). These approaches are effective for uncovering localised spatial mechanisms and scale-dependent relationships and have been used to explore the spatial heterogeneity of land-use drivers in urban-rural regions. Yet, they are less suited to handling high-dimensional variables and intricate interaction structures, and their performance often depends on subjective choices of bandwidths and kernel functions. As noted by Lessani and Li (2024), many extensions of GWR still have these limitations and thus only partially resolve the challenges of modelling complex, multi-dimensional land systems.The third category encompasses predictive models based on remote sensing and machine learning, including random forests, support vector machines, XGBoost, and deep learning. These models have demonstrated strong capabilities in extracting complex spatiotemporal patterns from large-scale remote sensing and multi-source big data, and can achieve high predictive accuracy in land-use classification, change detection and risk However, they often from limited and weak to theoretical frameworks in land-use and sustainability research and 2025). in including and have the of such models by global and and interactions, leading to frameworks such as These approaches have to to some extent, the between and et al., et al., 2025). their in urban-rural sustainability assessment remains and have been evaluation frameworks that integrate economic, ecological and social existing approaches statistical or emphasise predictive performance the of with to integrate their into a on the it is clear that existing research has significant to understanding the spatial structures, and efficiency of urban-rural land as well as the governance challenges of peri-urban However, key the and there is a lack of of the mechanisms between land-use transitions and their impacts on economic vitality, ecological quality, and social well-being. in of a quantitative for evaluating the dynamic transformation processes of "coordination-conflict" outcomes in urban-rural and for when development remain sustainable or the non-linear relationships and interaction effects urban-rural land-use factors have been it to how land use structures and sustainability and critical changes in landuse can the methodological the of multi-source spatial and machine models into urban-rural sustainability research frameworks remains methods have been there is a lack of that can simultaneously capture multi-dimensional spatial heterogeneity and non-linear and these into for sustainable land-use to these and the this the core research land-use transitions in urban-rural systems interact and co-evolve across the economic, ecological and social and critical these processes shift from coordination to this three research are that integrates economic, and social the multi-dimensional characteristics of urban-rural the and the Model to the spatial coordination mechanisms between human intensity and ecological and to identify the effects of land use and structures on urban-rural a quantitative framework for urban-rural sustainability on on the of panel models, the framework a Model with to a that statistical non-linear and the three the theoretical it framework that the mechanisms of and non-linear urban-rural framework existing effects to and critical the methodological it a quantitative that statistical models and random effects models, with machine models and for relationships and effects in complex land the as the land use and key driving and that spatial and sustainable governance in rapidly urbanising with to other urban-rural land-use transformation is both a of urbanisation and a critical of urban and rural development et al., 2020). In this a dynamic as resources, and land shift between urban and rural areas, with these factors over space and and et al., et al., this transformation, by rural and has often urban-rural disparities by the of toward et al., 2021). et al. (2021) that sustainable urban-rural land use the spatial of and development on both of the urban-rural this balance a dynamic across economic, and social between urban and rural toward this it is to a comprehensive framework for the sustainability of land use in urban and rural In this the as a crucial tool for the sustainability of regional land-use The of the in this is based on the and coordination and the framework of sustainable development that sustainable development in urban and rural systems is the of a dynamic balance between economic vitality, ecological and social well-being, and be as a and et al., 2021). These three dimensions interact and the of coordination and sustainability in regional drives growth, ecological capacity sustainable and social well-being of and social the coordination of these three components can sustainable urban-rural be et al., this theoretical this the for the evaluation as from the Development to and The sustainable development in this is to achieve ecological and in the framework of urban-rural focuses only on economic development on the of ecological and social based on the urban-rural sustainable development the is into three economic, and The economic the development dynamics and of urban and rural areas, the ecological focuses on environmental quality, and environmental the social social the of and social and from a this multi-source that the characteristics of the three dimensions to the The of is by three the theoretical that to a and the sustainable development the are based on or multi-source data, such as of and and spatiotemporal to address the the to evaluate the and of the indicators. that in the is and As in is to economic, ecological or social and to the of urban-rural sustainable The economic of the the capacity for regional economic development and its on the transitions in land use between urban and rural is including economic vitality, and and the a of is by the of and and studies that such as and the of urban and rural and their to for and and and related and are of the and its for growth et al., 2021). such as and the economic infrastructure and which are crucial for economic between urban and rural areas et al., 2020). and production are the of and zones, development zones, and These the of capacity and production as well as the of economic and the of a to to structures and 2019). are as for and the capacity to support economic activities such as and the is by such as and by data, which of on economic et al., ecological of the sustainability of land use in of ecological and environmental governance infrastructure is by and of These urban and which are key for the of urban and its in quality, and environmental health et al., et al., areas, including and are for ecological functions and and the and Additionally, environmental such as systems, and the ecological governance capacity and its in control and These are to environmental in the of urbanisation and (Fu et al., social of encompasses three of social of governance and social and the of cultural and by of is primarily in the of and which well-being and health et al., 2025). and and and the social governance capacity and the of et al., 2021). These are core of social in the of urban-rural et al., 2025). and cultural and and cultural and and cultural are as key of the of cultural and and et al., 2021). of the and of these are used as of and for These as crucial for and social as well as for cultural and on social sustainability and social highlights that these to social a of and development et al., et al., they a in the social for sustainable between urban and rural other studies on the sustainability of urban-rural land the in this research encompasses evaluation across the economic, and social which can the core mechanisms of urban-rural to some this assessment framework can as a tool to identify the and in the sustainability of urban-rural land The from this assessment framework systematically the and functions of urban-rural areas, with decision-making support to sustainable on the of on urban-rural land-use this a comprehensive framework that economic, ecological and social dimensions to evaluate the in as the research As of and and and with a and urbanisation of is a in the and one of the regions in to has been by and spatial expansion et al., the and has the of and the of development zones, leading to the of its urban functions and spatial structure. land has been into residential, industrial, and land, resulting in significant changes in and landscape patterns (Zhang et al., As a key in urban and and administrative of the the of urbanisation the and The is by et al. the of by their and is particularly suited for a to the and is as negative of intensity the of and is as is the of of of the integrates both the and of indicators, of a of by the of are by the the assessment two remote sensing indicators, and as in the of the and The Model is to the between and that the economic economic and social ecological and are used for between and is based on between and a and coordination between the two However, the between of coupled systems and of this the from existing et al., which is as link the and its coordination with land-use characteristics in a this a spatial panel the of the of is into and for the and ecological and for from to a over administrative it the which can it a of and highlights localised a remains over it for analysing dynamic land-use panel to simultaneously for the dimensions of and this the Model to the between the and land use the which that effects are the that effects are are random variables from a the model to for both and random it particularly for research with or when the is to capture and between regions of the Model used in this can be the from the for in is the vector of variables for in including land-use of land, and and is the is the vector of regression the impact of on the the random to heterogeneity across and is the random to to and core of the that the effects are with the this the and estimates the effects and the of both and broader to urban-rural In the model are the which estimates in the of and in panel to the of the is to the from the and 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The both and to models the framework to over demonstrates its and three key

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Frontiers in Environmental Science
Published
2026-02-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2026.1797731
Primary Topic
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
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article

Correction: Revealing urban-rural sustainability dynamics based on multi-source data and machine learning: spatio-temporal hotspots, driving mechanisms, and non-linear thresholds in Suzhou, China

Wenquan Gan, Jiana Liu, Jinliu Chen, Pengcheng Li et al.
Frontiers in Environmental Science
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
article

Correction: Revealing urban-rural sustainability dynamics based on multi-source data and machine learning: spatio-temporal hotspots, driving mechanisms, and non-linear thresholds in Suzhou, China

Wenquan Gan, Jiana Liu, Jinliu Chen, Pengcheng Li, Haoqi Wang
article en

Abstract

Urbanisation is one of the primary drivers of land-use transformation in contemporary society, reshaping both urban and rural landscapes throughout the 20th century (Nuissl and Siedentop, 2021). Although urbanisation drives economic growth and infrastructure advancement, it simultaneously leads to extensive transitions from rural to urban land uses, inevitably posing profound challenges to the sustainable development of land-use systems, particularly in peri-urban areas (Fu et al., 2021). These transitional zones, situated between urban and rural systems, integrate land, ecological resources, and human activities related to production and living. They are critical components of regional development (Zhang et al., 2020) and have significant impacts on human health and well-being (Barton, 2009). In the Chinese context, these processes unfold against a longstanding institutional separation between urban and rural areas, shaped by the household registration (hukou) system, differentiated land-use practices, economic structures and socio-cultural characteristics (Li, 2012).Rapid urbanisation has accelerated land-use transformations in peri-urban areas, shifting landscapes from primarily agricultural functions toward residential, industrial, and commercial uses. Development models focused on economic growth, to some extent, overlook the land-use conflicts resulting from such expansion and exacerbate their negative impacts (He et al., 2020).Existing studies on urban-rural land-use transitions can be broadly categorised into two perspectives. The first perspective examines how land-use change in peri-urban areas reshapes economic, ecological and social outcomes. Empirical work has assessed the efficiency and effectiveness of land-use transformation (Fu et al., 2021), the ecological consequences of land-use changes and land-use intensity (Wu et al., 2024;Xu et al., 2020), and broader sustainability implications, including environmental degradation, habitat fragmentation and the loss of cultural landscape identity (Shao et al., 2020;Xu et al., 2020). International research further highlights that unsustainable land-use transformations in rural areas during urbanisation can lead to displacement (Salem et al., 2020), infrastructure deficits, and widening socioeconomic disparities (Dadashpoor and Ahani, 2019). Taken together, this perspective demonstrates that peri-urban land-use transitions are crucial to the sustainability of urban-rural regions and have a direct impact on human well-being. However, most studies address economic, ecological and social dimensions separately or treat them as loosely connected outcome indicators, paying limited attention to how these dimensions interact and co-evolve over time. As a result, the coupled dynamics of "coordination-conflict" between land-use transitions and multi-dimensional sustainability outcomes remain insufficiently understood, particularly in rapidly urbanising contexts such as China.A second perspective focuses on governance arrangements, planning instruments and assessment frameworks for managing land-use change in urban-rural interfaces. Scholars have highlighted that current landuse transformation processes are often governed by fragmented and overlapping institutional regimes, leading to overlapping jurisdictions, inefficient decision-making and weak coordination across administrative boundaries (Perrin et al., 2018). Additionally, Follmann et al. (2021) and Ahani and Dadashpoor (2021) note that existing peri-urban land-use assessment and management frameworks fail to address the dynamic realities of urbanisation, creating loopholes for informal land speculation, unauthorised urban expansion, and environmental degradation. Although this line of research has significantly advanced the understanding of governance deficits and institutional complexity, it tends to emphasise qualitative institutional analysis or singledimensional indicators. However, the foundation of sustainable development lies in the coordination between economic, social, and environmental factors, with the core being the balance between ecological considerations and other dimensions (Gan et al., 2020;Li et al., 2022). There is a lack of attention to operational, quantitative frameworks that can systematically link land-use structures to economic vitality, ecological quality, and social well-being, and that can identify when and how urban-rural systems shift from coordinated development to conflictual outcomes (Buzási and Csete, 2017;Keith et al., 2023). Consequently, despite a substantial body of work on land-use transformation, ecological impacts, planning and control mechanisms, a comprehensive evaluation framework that integrates these dimensions to support sustainable development remains lacking (Salem et al., 2025).In addition to these theoretical gaps, there are notable limitations in the methodological approaches employed in the existing research. Currently, three categories of quantitative approaches are commonly used to evaluate urban-rural sustainability and land-use dynamics. The first category comprises statistical and spatial econometric models, including fixed-effects and random-effects models, as well as spatial panel specifications.The Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) has been widely used to identify spatial spillover effects and the impacts of neighbouring areas, serving as a key tool for evaluating the efficiency and driving factors of land use structure. (Luge et al., 2025). These models offer clear parameter interpretations and a solid theoretical foundation for analysing directional relationships and spillover effects. However, their reliance on linearity and global stationarity limits their capacity to capture non-linear interactions, high-order effects and complex spatial heterogeneity, and model stability can be compromised when the underlying processes are strongly nonstationary.The second category centres on geographically weighted regression (GWR) and its extensions, such as multi-scale regression methods (MGWR), which are used to address spatial non-stationarity by allowing coefficient estimates to vary across space (Wu et al., 2025). These approaches are effective for uncovering localised spatial mechanisms and scale-dependent relationships and have been used to explore the spatial heterogeneity of land-use drivers in urban-rural regions. Yet, they are less suited to handling high-dimensional variables and intricate interaction structures, and their performance often depends on subjective choices of bandwidths and kernel functions. As noted by Lessani and Li (2024), many extensions of GWR still have these limitations and thus only partially resolve the challenges of modelling complex, multi-dimensional land systems.The third category encompasses predictive models based on remote sensing and machine learning, including random forests, support vector machines, XGBoost, and deep learning. These models have demonstrated strong capabilities in extracting complex spatiotemporal patterns from large-scale remote sensing and multi-source big data, and can achieve high predictive accuracy in land-use classification, change detection and risk However, they often from limited and weak to theoretical frameworks in land-use and sustainability research and 2025). in including and have the of such models by global and and interactions, leading to frameworks such as These approaches have to to some extent, the between and et al., et al., 2025). their in urban-rural sustainability assessment remains and have been evaluation frameworks that integrate economic, ecological and social existing approaches statistical or emphasise predictive performance the of with to integrate their into a on the it is clear that existing research has significant to understanding the spatial structures, and efficiency of urban-rural land as well as the governance challenges of peri-urban However, key the and there is a lack of of the mechanisms between land-use transitions and their impacts on economic vitality, ecological quality, and social well-being. in of a quantitative for evaluating the dynamic transformation processes of "coordination-conflict" outcomes in urban-rural and for when development remain sustainable or the non-linear relationships and interaction effects urban-rural land-use factors have been it to how land use structures and sustainability and critical changes in landuse can the methodological the of multi-source spatial and machine models into urban-rural sustainability research frameworks remains methods have been there is a lack of that can simultaneously capture multi-dimensional spatial heterogeneity and non-linear and these into for sustainable land-use to these and the this the core research land-use transitions in urban-rural systems interact and co-evolve across the economic, ecological and social and critical these processes shift from coordination to this three research are that integrates economic, and social the multi-dimensional characteristics of urban-rural the and the Model to the spatial coordination mechanisms between human intensity and ecological and to identify the effects of land use and structures on urban-rural a quantitative framework for urban-rural sustainability on on the of panel models, the framework a Model with to a that statistical non-linear and the three the theoretical it framework that the mechanisms of and non-linear urban-rural framework existing effects to and critical the methodological it a quantitative that statistical models and random effects models, with machine models and for relationships and effects in complex land the as the land use and key driving and that spatial and sustainable governance in rapidly urbanising with to other urban-rural land-use transformation is both a of urbanisation and a critical of urban and rural development et al., 2020). In this a dynamic as resources, and land shift between urban and rural areas, with these factors over space and and et al., et al., this transformation, by rural and has often urban-rural disparities by the of toward et al., 2021). et al. (2021) that sustainable urban-rural land use the spatial of and development on both of the urban-rural this balance a dynamic across economic, and social between urban and rural toward this it is to a comprehensive framework for the sustainability of land use in urban and rural In this the as a crucial tool for the sustainability of regional land-use The of the in this is based on the and coordination and the framework of sustainable development that sustainable development in urban and rural systems is the of a dynamic balance between economic vitality, ecological and social well-being, and be as a and et al., 2021). These three dimensions interact and the of coordination and sustainability in regional drives growth, ecological capacity sustainable and social well-being of and social the coordination of these three components can sustainable urban-rural be et al., this theoretical this the for the evaluation as from the Development to and The sustainable development in this is to achieve ecological and in the framework of urban-rural focuses only on economic development on the of ecological and social based on the urban-rural sustainable development the is into three economic, and The economic the development dynamics and of urban and rural areas, the ecological focuses on environmental quality, and environmental the social social the of and social and from a this multi-source that the characteristics of the three dimensions to the The of is by three the theoretical that to a and the sustainable development the are based on or multi-source data, such as of and and spatiotemporal to address the the to evaluate the and of the indicators. that in the is and As in is to economic, ecological or social and to the of urban-rural sustainable The economic of the the capacity for regional economic development and its on the transitions in land use between urban and rural is including economic vitality, and and the a of is by the of and and studies that such as and the of urban and rural and their to for and and and related and are of the and its for growth et al., 2021). such as and the economic infrastructure and which are crucial for economic between urban and rural areas et al., 2020). and production are the of and zones, development zones, and These the of capacity and production as well as the of economic and the of a to to structures and 2019). are as for and the capacity to support economic activities such as and the is by such as and by data, which of on economic et al., ecological of the sustainability of land use in of ecological and environmental governance infrastructure is by and of These urban and which are key for the of urban and its in quality, and environmental health et al., et al., areas, including and are for ecological functions and and the and Additionally, environmental such as systems, and the ecological governance capacity and its in control and These are to environmental in the of urbanisation and (Fu et al., social of encompasses three of social of governance and social and the of cultural and by of is primarily in the of and which well-being and health et al., 2025). and and and the social governance capacity and the of et al., 2021). 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the models the and of in the The and remain the of the in the remains strongly further explore the impact of spatial heterogeneity, in and the of and the are in These that urban development intensity remains the primary of and studies by et al. and et al. this research highlights that of land ecological and agricultural areas, a significant in These land-use categories a and emphasise their in both and production in the to with which highlights the of infrastructure in urban-rural sustainability and with theoretical that is significant for urban ecological (He et al., these a of the and transformation, and for the non-linear interaction and further and the from the modelling and analysis employed to explore non-linear and interaction effects land-use the of variables and their based on two model the model and the change model the on the the from to These the of land-use to the model In the on the the and of impacts for The model a strong between the and the of as well as significant 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The both and to models the framework to over demonstrates its and three key

Frontiers in Environmental ScienceVol. 14
Zhejiang Sci-Tech University (CN), Suzhou University of Science and Technology (CN), Suzhou Art & Design Technology Institute (CN), University of Hong Kong (HK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
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