Landward Acceleration of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast

Abstract Accurate forecasts of near‐landfall TC characteristics (direction, translation speed, and intensity) are essential for timely disaster preparedness. Using best‐track data (1951–2023), this study reveals a significant pre‐landfall acceleration of TCs along the South China coast, with translation speed increasing by 35.5% and 16.4% during the 24 hr prior to landfall for eastbound and westbound cases, respectively. This acceleration is primarily contributed by the normal component of the translation vector. For westbound TCs, translation speed and its normal component increase with intensity, particularly at typhoon strength and above. Numerical simulations and diagnostic analyses attribute the acceleration to horizontal advection and diabatic heating, primarily driven by land‐induced asymmetric flow and convection. These findings strengthen the current understanding of TC motion dynamics and support more effective disaster prevention and mitigation strategies as TCs approach coastal regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119733
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Landward Acceleration of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast

Ruiqiang Ding, Yongjie Huang, Shifei Tu, Quanjia Zhong et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Landward Acceleration of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast

Ruiqiang Ding, Yongjie Huang, Shifei Tu, Quanjia Zhong, Wansuo Duan, Johnny C. L. Chan
article en

Abstract

Abstract Accurate forecasts of near‐landfall TC characteristics (direction, translation speed, and intensity) are essential for timely disaster preparedness. Using best‐track data (1951–2023), this study reveals a significant pre‐landfall acceleration of TCs along the South China coast, with translation speed increasing by 35.5% and 16.4% during the 24 hr prior to landfall for eastbound and westbound cases, respectively. This acceleration is primarily contributed by the normal component of the translation vector. For westbound TCs, translation speed and its normal component increase with intensity, particularly at typhoon strength and above. Numerical simulations and diagnostic analyses attribute the acceleration to horizontal advection and diabatic heating, primarily driven by land‐induced asymmetric flow and convection. These findings strengthen the current understanding of TC motion dynamics and support more effective disaster prevention and mitigation strategies as TCs approach coastal regions.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(4)
China Meteorological Administration (CN), City University of Hong Kong (HK), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Beijing Normal University (CN), Ocean Park Conservation Foundation (HK), OceanX Technology (China) (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Oklahoma (US), University of Hong Kong (HK)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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Landward Acceleration of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast — Ruiqiang Ding, Yongjie Huang, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS