A novel trajectory prediction method for AUVs based on the principal axis with RANSAC and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter

Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) are widely used to explore ocean resources, and trajectory prediction of AUVs is crucial to the active docking method. To address these two issues, this paper proposes a novel and practical trajectory prediction method based on the principal axis with RANSAC (PARANSAC) and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter (AFUKF). The PARANSAC is designed to process binocular camera images and point clouds and provides pose estimation of AUVs to the AFUKF, eliminating the need for additional preinstalled markers on AUVs, thus significantly reducing system complexity. The AFUKF, which can adaptively adjust the measurement noise covariance matrix, is designed to estimate the trajectory of AUVs based on the pose estimation of PARANSAC, and the multistep trajectories of AUVs are predicted on the basis of a practical method. Pool experiments are conducted and illustrate the effectiveness of the PARANSAC and AFUKF methods, further verifying the performance of the novel trajectory prediction method.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part M Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment
Published
2026-02-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/14750902251414662
Primary Topic
Maritime Navigation and Safety
Type
article
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article

A novel trajectory prediction method for AUVs based on the principal axis with RANSAC and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter

Shenghai Wang, Yongrong Sun, Qiji Kuang, Zhaochen Meng et al.
Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part M Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment
Maritime Navigation and Safety
article

A novel trajectory prediction method for AUVs based on the principal axis with RANSAC and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter

Shenghai Wang, Yongrong Sun, Qiji Kuang, Zhaochen Meng, Wenxiang Li, Guangdong Han, Yi Wei, Yancun LI, Yufu Gao
article en

Abstract

Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) are widely used to explore ocean resources, and trajectory prediction of AUVs is crucial to the active docking method. To address these two issues, this paper proposes a novel and practical trajectory prediction method based on the principal axis with RANSAC (PARANSAC) and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter (AFUKF). The PARANSAC is designed to process binocular camera images and point clouds and provides pose estimation of AUVs to the AFUKF, eliminating the need for additional preinstalled markers on AUVs, thus significantly reducing system complexity. The AFUKF, which can adaptively adjust the measurement noise covariance matrix, is designed to estimate the trajectory of AUVs based on the pose estimation of PARANSAC, and the multistep trajectories of AUVs are predicted on the basis of a practical method. Pool experiments are conducted and illustrate the effectiveness of the PARANSAC and AFUKF methods, further verifying the performance of the novel trajectory prediction method.

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part M Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment
Dalian Maritime University (CN)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Maritime Navigation and Safety
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A novel trajectory prediction method for AUVs based on the principal axis with RANSAC and an adaptive fuzzy unscented Kalman filter — Shenghai Wang, Yongrong Sun, et al. · Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part M Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS