Forced changes in Atlantic overturning are distinctly fingerprinted by South Atlantic western boundary transports

Abstract As a major ocean circulation system, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may approach a critical transition under anthropogenic forcing, yet how large-scale AMOC changes imprint on regional circulation pathways remains incompletely understood. While persistent changes in overturning are expected to be meridionally coherent, their horizontal expression may be highly non-uniform. Here, we use 22,000-year-long transient deglacial climate simulations to examine how latitudinally coherent AMOC variations are redistributed across the upper Atlantic circulation. By separating externally forced, long-term AMOC changes from internally generated, short-term variability, we show that the former are disproportionately reflected along the full meridional extent of the South Atlantic western boundary current system. In contrast, North Atlantic counterparts relate primarily to higher-frequency, unforced AMOC variability. Our findings highlight South Atlantic western boundary transports as outstanding fingerprints of past externally forced AMOC changes, thereby outlining their particular sensitivity to a predicted, anthropogenically forced weakening of the AMOC.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2026-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03282-9
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Forced changes in Atlantic overturning are distinctly fingerprinted by South Atlantic western boundary transports

Michel Michaelovitch de Mahiques, Ilana Wainer, Márcia Caruso Bícego, Fernanda Marcello
Communications Earth & Environment
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

Forced changes in Atlantic overturning are distinctly fingerprinted by South Atlantic western boundary transports

Michel Michaelovitch de Mahiques, Ilana Wainer, Márcia Caruso Bícego, Fernanda Marcello
article en

Abstract

Abstract As a major ocean circulation system, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may approach a critical transition under anthropogenic forcing, yet how large-scale AMOC changes imprint on regional circulation pathways remains incompletely understood. While persistent changes in overturning are expected to be meridionally coherent, their horizontal expression may be highly non-uniform. Here, we use 22,000-year-long transient deglacial climate simulations to examine how latitudinally coherent AMOC variations are redistributed across the upper Atlantic circulation. By separating externally forced, long-term AMOC changes from internally generated, short-term variability, we show that the former are disproportionately reflected along the full meridional extent of the South Atlantic western boundary current system. In contrast, North Atlantic counterparts relate primarily to higher-frequency, unforced AMOC variability. Our findings highlight South Atlantic western boundary transports as outstanding fingerprints of past externally forced AMOC changes, thereby outlining their particular sensitivity to a predicted, anthropogenically forced weakening of the AMOC.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 7(1)
Universidade de São Paulo (BR), Instituto Español de Oceanografía (ES)
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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