How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Authoritarian regimes have increasingly leveraged foreign media to project influence within democracies, yet evidence of these co-opted outlets’ actual effects remains scarce. This study presents findings from a field experiment conducted during Taiwan’s 2020 general election, assessing the impact of The China Times, a Beijing-backed media conglomerate, on voter behavior and attitudes. The experiment incentivized participants to engage in sustained consumption of real-time news from this outlet in the weeks leading up to the election. Results from a panel survey linked to individual-level web-tracking data reveal that exposure to The China Times sways voters in favor of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). These effects, however, are primarily driven by nonpartisan and PRC-friendly voters. To the extent that I find effects among PRC-skeptics, they show evidence of backfiring. As Beijing’s media co-optation extends beyond Taiwan, my findings have broader implications for understanding the effectiveness and limitations of authoritarian influence operations.

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Publication Details

Journal
American Political Science Review
Published
2026-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055426101476
Primary Topic
Media Influence and Politics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

JAY C. KAO
American Political Science Review
Media Influence and Politics
article

How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

JAY C. KAO
article en

Abstract

Authoritarian regimes have increasingly leveraged foreign media to project influence within democracies, yet evidence of these co-opted outlets’ actual effects remains scarce. This study presents findings from a field experiment conducted during Taiwan’s 2020 general election, assessing the impact of The China Times, a Beijing-backed media conglomerate, on voter behavior and attitudes. The experiment incentivized participants to engage in sustained consumption of real-time news from this outlet in the weeks leading up to the election. Results from a panel survey linked to individual-level web-tracking data reveal that exposure to The China Times sways voters in favor of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). These effects, however, are primarily driven by nonpartisan and PRC-friendly voters. To the extent that I find effects among PRC-skeptics, they show evidence of backfiring. As Beijing’s media co-optation extends beyond Taiwan, my findings have broader implications for understanding the effectiveness and limitations of authoritarian influence operations.

American Political Science Review
Loyola University Chicago (US)
American Political Science Association, Harvard University, University of Texas at Austin, University of Cambridge, Academia Sinica, National Cheng Kung University
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Media Influence and Politics
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How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment — JAY C. KAO · American Political Science Review (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS