Predicting the Unpredictable: Prognostic Role of Systemic Inflammatory Indices and Tumor Biology of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Gastric and Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer—Insights from a Systematic Review and Real-World Experience
<b>Background/Objectives:</b> Perioperative chemotherapy is the standard treatment for locally advanced gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma; however, substantial uncertainty remains regarding the optimal management of non-responding patients and the prognostic relevance of biological and inflammatory biomarkers. This study aimed to determine, using real-world data integrated with a comprehensive literature review, whether long-term survival is driven primarily by the choice of chemotherapy regimen or by the tumor's intrinsic biological aggressiveness and the host's systemic inflammatory response. <b>Methods:</b> A retrospective analysis was performed of 43 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Survival outcomes were stratified by regimen (FLOT versus non-FLOT) and analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods. The prognostic value of clinicopathological features and systemic inflammatory indices was assessed using multivariate Cox regression models to identify independent predictors of mortality. <b>Results:</b> Although FLOT showed a trend toward improved overall survival (OS) (median not reached vs. 18.9 months), this difference did not reach statistical significance. Univariate analysis linked lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (HR = 4.17; <i>p</i> = 0.003), pan-cytokeratin (panCK) (HR = 2.44; <i>p</i> = 0.032), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) (HR = 1.73; <i>p</i> = 0.027) with survival. To minimize overfitting, two multivariate models were constructed. The first confirmed LVI (HR = 7.32; <i>p</i> < 0.001) and panCK (HR = 4.30; <i>p</i> = 0.006) as independent prognostic markers. The second identified MLR (HR = 1.65; <i>p</i> = 0.033) and panCK (HR = 2.42; <i>p</i> = 0.034) as independent adverse factors. <b>Conclusions:</b> Our findings suggest a paradigm shift in prognostic assessment for locally advanced gastric cancer: therapeutic success appears to depend more on underlying tumor biology and the immune microenvironment than on any specific neoadjuvant regimen. High MLR and LVI serve as strong surrogate markers of a biologically aggressive, chemotherapy-resistant phenotype. Consequently, future clinical strategies should move beyond a "one-size-fits-all" chemotherapy approach and prioritize these biomarkers for risk stratification and personalization of multimodal therapy.
Authors
- Ahmet Bilgehan Şahin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7846-0870)
- Bedrettin Orhan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3970-2344)
- Birol Ocak (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7537-1699)
- Burcu Caner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1591-3323)
- Sibel Oyucu Orhan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8217-3471)
- Yağmur Tarhana Çakır
- Adem Deligönül
- Seda Sali
- Erdem Çubukçu
Institutions
- Bursa Uludağ Üni̇versi̇tesi̇ (TR)
- Bursa Technical University (TR)
- Ankara Atatürk Eğitim ve Araştırma Hastanesi (TR)
- Sağlık Bilimleri Üniversitesi (TR)
- S.B.Ü. Bursa Yüksek İhtisas Eğitim ve Araştırma Hastanesi (TR)
- Atatürk University (TR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Published
- 2026-02-13
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15041484
- Primary Topic
- Inflammatory Biomarkers in Disease Prognosis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00