Evaluating net-zero energy buildings and their grid interaction: A comprehensive framework for operational phase and a Nordic case study

This paper presents a synthesized evaluation framework for assessing Net-Zero Energy Buildings (NZEBs) during their operational phase, with a specific focus on grid interaction under real market conditions. The framework integrates four established Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Load/Generation Balance, Self-Consumption Rate, Emission Reduction Rate and Cost Reduction Rate – using high-resolution operational data, hourly grid emission factors, and spot prices. Demonstrated through a case study of a large Finnish residential NZEB equipped with a ground-source heat pump and off-site solar PV, the analysis reveals both the potential and limitations of PV-based solutions in cold climates. While the system achieved an 89% annual load/generation balance, hourly analysis showed a 31% self-consumption rate, with most PV production exported during periods of low prices and low emissions. Operational emissions and electricity costs were reduced by 56% and 41%, respectively, compared to a baseline without PV. However, sensitivity analysis indicates that economic outcomes are highly dependent on prevailing market conditions, highlighting the importance of multi-year evaluation. The framework’s parallel KPIs, when used collectively, enable stakeholders to assess trade-offs and guide practical decisions regarding demand-side management, energy storage, and operational strategies. The economic analysis focuses on market exposure, including O&M costs for PV, but excluding investment costs. The framework is flexible and can be applied to NZEBs with various configurations, supporting robust, data-driven decision-making for improved cost-effectiveness and decarbonization. • Proposed a replicable framework for evaluating NZEBs in operation • Hourly grid emissions and spot prices integrated into performance metrics • Framework applied to a Finnish NZEB with PV and ground-source heat pump • Results showed 56% emission and 41% cost reduction despite 31% PV self-consumption • Demand response and storage recommended to improve NZEB-grid alignment

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Publication Details

Journal
Renewable Energy
Published
2026-02-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2026.125435
Primary Topic
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Type
article
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article

Evaluating net-zero energy buildings and their grid interaction: A comprehensive framework for operational phase and a Nordic case study

Terttu Vainio, Anu Purhonen, Matti Aro, Paula Ala-Kotila et al.
Renewable Energy
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
article

Evaluating net-zero energy buildings and their grid interaction: A comprehensive framework for operational phase and a Nordic case study

Terttu Vainio, Anu Purhonen, Matti Aro, Paula Ala-Kotila, Pertti Järventausta, Kari Mäki
article en

Abstract

This paper presents a synthesized evaluation framework for assessing Net-Zero Energy Buildings (NZEBs) during their operational phase, with a specific focus on grid interaction under real market conditions. The framework integrates four established Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Load/Generation Balance, Self-Consumption Rate, Emission Reduction Rate and Cost Reduction Rate – using high-resolution operational data, hourly grid emission factors, and spot prices. Demonstrated through a case study of a large Finnish residential NZEB equipped with a ground-source heat pump and off-site solar PV, the analysis reveals both the potential and limitations of PV-based solutions in cold climates. While the system achieved an 89% annual load/generation balance, hourly analysis showed a 31% self-consumption rate, with most PV production exported during periods of low prices and low emissions. Operational emissions and electricity costs were reduced by 56% and 41%, respectively, compared to a baseline without PV. However, sensitivity analysis indicates that economic outcomes are highly dependent on prevailing market conditions, highlighting the importance of multi-year evaluation. The framework’s parallel KPIs, when used collectively, enable stakeholders to assess trade-offs and guide practical decisions regarding demand-side management, energy storage, and operational strategies. The economic analysis focuses on market exposure, including O&M costs for PV, but excluding investment costs. The framework is flexible and can be applied to NZEBs with various configurations, supporting robust, data-driven decision-making for improved cost-effectiveness and decarbonization. • Proposed a replicable framework for evaluating NZEBs in operation • Hourly grid emissions and spot prices integrated into performance metrics • Framework applied to a Finnish NZEB with PV and ground-source heat pump • Results showed 56% emission and 41% cost reduction despite 31% PV self-consumption • Demand response and storage recommended to improve NZEB-grid alignment

Renewable EnergyVol. 262
Tampere University (FI), VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland (FI)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
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