Pregnancy AI: Development and Internal Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Tool to Predict Live Births in ICSI and IVF Cycles Using Clinical Features and Embryo Images

<i>Background and Objectives:</i> This study aimed at developing an AI-based predictive model for live birth based on a combination of a support vector machine (SVM) using clinical and embryological features, together with a convolutional neural network (CNN) using embryo time-lapse videos. <i>Materials and Methods:</i> This was a retrospective cohort analysis. Two hundred fifty-nine infertile couples treated between January 2012 and December 2019, with a total of 2330 embryos, were included in this study, and clinical data and images from 355 transferred embryos were used to build a predictive model. The main outcome was accuracy of live birth prediction. The secondary outcomes included accuracy in the prediction of biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy and transferrable embryos. <i>Results</i>: The model was able to predict the transferrable embryo (i.e., embryos suitable for transfer or cryopreservation) with an accuracy of 0.98 in an internal set. The accuracy for predicting live birth, clinical pregnancy, and biochemical pregnancy exclusively using clinical data as input for an SVM model was 0.67, 0.68, and 0.67, respectively. With six frames from time-lapse embryo development, the CNN produced an accuracy of 0.57, 0.67, and 0.72. The predictive model performed best when combining input from clinical data and images from multiple embryo developmental frames, obtaining 0.71, 0.73, and 0.77 for predicting live birth, clinical pregnancy, and biochemical pregnancy. <i>Conclusions</i>: This study highlights the potential of combining clinical data and embryo development images to enhance predictive models in reproductive medicine.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Medicina
Published
2026-02-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina62020364
Primary Topic
Reproductive Biology and Fertility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Pregnancy AI: Development and Internal Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Tool to Predict Live Births in ICSI and IVF Cycles Using Clinical Features and Embryo Images

Jaume Minano Masip, Isaac-Jacques Kadoch, Daniel Dufort, Simon Phillips et al.
Medicina
Reproductive Biology and Fertility
article

Pregnancy AI: Development and Internal Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Tool to Predict Live Births in ICSI and IVF Cycles Using Clinical Features and Embryo Images

Jaume Minano Masip, Isaac-Jacques Kadoch, Daniel Dufort, Simon Phillips, Penelope Borduas, Doina Precup
article en

Abstract

<i>Background and Objectives:</i> This study aimed at developing an AI-based predictive model for live birth based on a combination of a support vector machine (SVM) using clinical and embryological features, together with a convolutional neural network (CNN) using embryo time-lapse videos. <i>Materials and Methods:</i> This was a retrospective cohort analysis. Two hundred fifty-nine infertile couples treated between January 2012 and December 2019, with a total of 2330 embryos, were included in this study, and clinical data and images from 355 transferred embryos were used to build a predictive model. The main outcome was accuracy of live birth prediction. The secondary outcomes included accuracy in the prediction of biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy and transferrable embryos. <i>Results</i>: The model was able to predict the transferrable embryo (i.e., embryos suitable for transfer or cryopreservation) with an accuracy of 0.98 in an internal set. The accuracy for predicting live birth, clinical pregnancy, and biochemical pregnancy exclusively using clinical data as input for an SVM model was 0.67, 0.68, and 0.67, respectively. With six frames from time-lapse embryo development, the CNN produced an accuracy of 0.57, 0.67, and 0.72. The predictive model performed best when combining input from clinical data and images from multiple embryo developmental frames, obtaining 0.71, 0.73, and 0.77 for predicting live birth, clinical pregnancy, and biochemical pregnancy. <i>Conclusions</i>: This study highlights the potential of combining clinical data and embryo development images to enhance predictive models in reproductive medicine.

MedicinaVol. 62(2)
McGill University Health Centre (CA), Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CA), Montreal Clinical Research Institute (CA), McGill University (CA), Université de Montréal (CA)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 61%
Reproductive Biology and Fertility
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.