Mapping Philadelphia's Floodscape: A 35‐Year Analysis of Coastal Urban Flood Hazards and Drivers

Abstract Low‐lying coastal urban cities face significant flooding risks from river flooding (fluvial), storm surges and high tides (coastal), and intense local rainfall (pluvial). Accurately assessing these hazards requires modeling frameworks capable of capturing both the individual and combined effects of multiple flood drivers, as well as the diversity of flood scenarios that can arise from their interactions. In this study, we implemented a physics‐based, high‐resolution modeling approach to assess flood hazards in Philadelphia, PA, a coastal city exemplifying multi‐driver flood risks over multiple decades (1985–2019), by simulating a wide range of flood events at a 10‐m resolution. By integrating watershed, coastal, and urban flood models, we explicitly resolved the interaction between fluvial, pluvial, and coastal processes across the city. From these simulations, we identified flood hazard hotspots and systematically attributed the primary drivers of flooding for each event. The results suggested that 44% of Philadelphia's flood events were compound floods, primarily driven by fluvial‐surge and fluvial‐pluvial combinations. Notably, 77% of these events involved fluvial flooding, either as a single flood driver or in combination with other drivers, underscoring the dominant role of riverine processes in the city's flood hazard. Overall, this study demonstrates the value of a comprehensive, process‐based approach for urban flood hazard assessment and highlights the importance of considering the full spectrum of flood scenarios to inform targeted and adaptive flood management strategies in coastal cities.

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Publication Details

Journal
Earth s Future
Published
2026-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef006915
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Mapping Philadelphia's Floodscape: A 35‐Year Analysis of Coastal Urban Flood Hazards and Drivers

Youngjun Son, Cade Reesman, David Judi, Xue Li et al.
Earth s Future
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

Mapping Philadelphia's Floodscape: A 35‐Year Analysis of Coastal Urban Flood Hazards and Drivers

Youngjun Son, Cade Reesman, David Judi, Xue Li, Zhaoqing Yang, Mithun Deb, Ning Sun, Karthik Balaguru, William Perkins
article en

Abstract

Abstract Low‐lying coastal urban cities face significant flooding risks from river flooding (fluvial), storm surges and high tides (coastal), and intense local rainfall (pluvial). Accurately assessing these hazards requires modeling frameworks capable of capturing both the individual and combined effects of multiple flood drivers, as well as the diversity of flood scenarios that can arise from their interactions. In this study, we implemented a physics‐based, high‐resolution modeling approach to assess flood hazards in Philadelphia, PA, a coastal city exemplifying multi‐driver flood risks over multiple decades (1985–2019), by simulating a wide range of flood events at a 10‐m resolution. By integrating watershed, coastal, and urban flood models, we explicitly resolved the interaction between fluvial, pluvial, and coastal processes across the city. From these simulations, we identified flood hazard hotspots and systematically attributed the primary drivers of flooding for each event. The results suggested that 44% of Philadelphia's flood events were compound floods, primarily driven by fluvial‐surge and fluvial‐pluvial combinations. Notably, 77% of these events involved fluvial flooding, either as a single flood driver or in combination with other drivers, underscoring the dominant role of riverine processes in the city's flood hazard. Overall, this study demonstrates the value of a comprehensive, process‐based approach for urban flood hazard assessment and highlights the importance of considering the full spectrum of flood scenarios to inform targeted and adaptive flood management strategies in coastal cities.

Earth s FutureVol. 14(2)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US)
U.S. Department of Energy, Battelle, National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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