Sensitivity Analysis of a Tuberculosis Transmission Model with Incomplete Treatment

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health concern due to its complex transmission dynamics and frequent treatment interruptions. This study utilizes a SEITR compartmental model to quantitatively analyze the spread and control of TB. The model calculates the basic reproduction number, disease-free equilibrium, and endemic equilibrium to evaluate system stability. Sensitivity analysis identifies key parameters influencing the infected population: effective contact rate, natural mortality rate, population recruitment rate, and treatment rate. Among these, the effective contact rate and natural mortality rate significantly impact disease persistence. The findings suggest that effective TB control can be achieved through early detection and isolation of infectious individuals, timely and proper treatment, improved indoor ventilation, and the consistent use of masks by active TB patients. This model-based approach offers empirical evidence to inform public health policies, highlighting critical intervention points to interrupt TB transmission and improve treatment outcomes.

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Journal
CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Published
2026-02-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v11i1.36325
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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article
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article

Sensitivity Analysis of a Tuberculosis Transmission Model with Incomplete Treatment

J Harianto, Diki Fernandi
CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Sensitivity Analysis of a Tuberculosis Transmission Model with Incomplete Treatment

J Harianto, Diki Fernandi
article en

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health concern due to its complex transmission dynamics and frequent treatment interruptions. This study utilizes a SEITR compartmental model to quantitatively analyze the spread and control of TB. The model calculates the basic reproduction number, disease-free equilibrium, and endemic equilibrium to evaluate system stability. Sensitivity analysis identifies key parameters influencing the infected population: effective contact rate, natural mortality rate, population recruitment rate, and treatment rate. Among these, the effective contact rate and natural mortality rate significantly impact disease persistence. The findings suggest that effective TB control can be achieved through early detection and isolation of infectious individuals, timely and proper treatment, improved indoor ventilation, and the consistent use of masks by active TB patients. This model-based approach offers empirical evidence to inform public health policies, highlighting critical intervention points to interrupt TB transmission and improve treatment outcomes.

CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan AplikasiVol. 11(1)
Bandung Institute of Technology (ID), Cenderawasih University (ID)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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Sensitivity Analysis of a Tuberculosis Transmission Model with Incomplete Treatment — J Harianto, Diki Fernandi · CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS