Statistical and temporal assessment of meteorological variables in a high population density region in Maceió, Alagoas, Brazil

• Investigation of meteorological variables for climate change mitigation. • Assessment of rainfall accumulated, wind speed, maximum and minimum temperature. • Individual, monthly and annual statistical analysis of meteorological variables. • Wavelet analysis to detection climate periodicities and anomalies. The analysis of meteorological variables is essential for understanding and anticipating the impacts of climate extremes, particularly in rapidly urbanizing areas. This study investigated the temporal variability of accumulated rainfall, wind speed, and minimum and maximum temperatures in the Benedito Bentes neighborhood, one of the most densely populated areas of Maceió, Alagoas, Brazil. Monthly data from 1958 to 2021 derived from TERRACLIMATE product were used. The assessment included descriptive statistics, seasonal, and interannual analyses, temporal distribution, boxplots, scatter diagrams, and Wavelet analysis. The results showed that accumulated rainfall exhibited the greatest annual variability, with a well-defined seasonality: dry season (January, February, October, November and December); transition season (March, August, and September); and rainy season (April, May, June and July). The Pearson coefficient for rainfall was r = 0.87, indicating very high agreement. For maximum and minimum temperatures, correlations were also high (0.95 and 0.94, respectively), classified as almost perfect. These findings demonstrate that the TERRACLIMATE product is validated for the study region, except for wind speed, which showed low correlation (-0.22) and a coefficient of determination of 4.8%, reflecting high data dispersion. The Wavelet analysis revealed a predominant annual periodicity for all variables, driven by the influence of multiscale atmospheric system with varying spectral intensities. These findings highlight the strong influence of the annual cycle on local meteorological variables and provide relevant insights to support public policies focused on urban planning and climate risk mitigation in densely populated neighborhoods.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geosystems and Geoenvironment
Published
2026-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geogeo.2026.100517
Primary Topic
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
Type
article
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article

Statistical and temporal assessment of meteorological variables in a high population density region in Maceió, Alagoas, Brazil

Iwldson Guilherme da Silva Santos, Rodrigo Matheus da Silva Brito, Micejane Da Silva Costa, Isnaldo Isaac Barbosa et al.
Geosystems and Geoenvironment
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
article

Statistical and temporal assessment of meteorological variables in a high population density region in Maceió, Alagoas, Brazil

Iwldson Guilherme da Silva Santos, Rodrigo Matheus da Silva Brito, Micejane Da Silva Costa, Isnaldo Isaac Barbosa, José Francisco de Oliveira Júnior, Ana Lucia Felix do Nascimento, Inaura Patrícia da Silva Santos, Bárbara Godoy de Barros
article en

Abstract

• Investigation of meteorological variables for climate change mitigation. • Assessment of rainfall accumulated, wind speed, maximum and minimum temperature. • Individual, monthly and annual statistical analysis of meteorological variables. • Wavelet analysis to detection climate periodicities and anomalies. The analysis of meteorological variables is essential for understanding and anticipating the impacts of climate extremes, particularly in rapidly urbanizing areas. This study investigated the temporal variability of accumulated rainfall, wind speed, and minimum and maximum temperatures in the Benedito Bentes neighborhood, one of the most densely populated areas of Maceió, Alagoas, Brazil. Monthly data from 1958 to 2021 derived from TERRACLIMATE product were used. The assessment included descriptive statistics, seasonal, and interannual analyses, temporal distribution, boxplots, scatter diagrams, and Wavelet analysis. The results showed that accumulated rainfall exhibited the greatest annual variability, with a well-defined seasonality: dry season (January, February, October, November and December); transition season (March, August, and September); and rainy season (April, May, June and July). The Pearson coefficient for rainfall was r = 0.87, indicating very high agreement. For maximum and minimum temperatures, correlations were also high (0.95 and 0.94, respectively), classified as almost perfect. These findings demonstrate that the TERRACLIMATE product is validated for the study region, except for wind speed, which showed low correlation (-0.22) and a coefficient of determination of 4.8%, reflecting high data dispersion. The Wavelet analysis revealed a predominant annual periodicity for all variables, driven by the influence of multiscale atmospheric system with varying spectral intensities. These findings highlight the strong influence of the annual cycle on local meteorological variables and provide relevant insights to support public policies focused on urban planning and climate risk mitigation in densely populated neighborhoods.

Geosystems and Geoenvironment
Instituto Butantan (BR), Brazilian Society of Computational and Applied Mathematics (BR), Secretaria do Meio Ambiente (BR), Instituto de Geofísica y Astronomía (CU), Serviço Nacional de Aprendizagem Comercial (BR), Universidade Federal de Alagoas (BR)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Urban Heat Island Mitigation
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