The Empirical Bayes Estimators of the Variance Parameter of the Normal Distribution with a Normal-Inverse-Gamma Prior Under Stein’s Loss Function

For the hierarchical normal and normal-inverse-gamma model, we derive the Bayesian estimator of the variance parameter in the normal distribution under Stein’s loss function—a penalty function that treats gross overestimation and underestimation equally—and compute the associated Posterior Expected Stein’s Loss (PESL). Additionally, we determine the Bayesian estimator of the same variance parameter under the squared error loss function, along with its corresponding PESL. We further develop empirical Bayes estimators for the variance parameter using a conjugate normal-inverse-gamma prior, employing both the method of moments and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Theoretical properties, including posterior and marginal distributions, two inequalities that relate two Bayes estimators and their corresponding PESLs, and consistencies of hyperparameter estimators and empirical Bayes estimators, are established. The simulation results demonstrate that MLEs outperform moment estimators in estimating hyperparameters, particularly with respect to consistency and model fit. Finally, we apply our methodology to real-world data on poverty levels—specifically, the percentage of individuals living below the poverty line—to validate and illustrate our theoretical findings.

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Publication Details

Journal
Axioms
Published
2026-02-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15020127
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Type
article
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article

The Empirical Bayes Estimators of the Variance Parameter of the Normal Distribution with a Normal-Inverse-Gamma Prior Under Stein’s Loss Function

Ying‐Ying Zhang
Axioms
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
article

The Empirical Bayes Estimators of the Variance Parameter of the Normal Distribution with a Normal-Inverse-Gamma Prior Under Stein’s Loss Function

Ying‐Ying Zhang
article en

Abstract

For the hierarchical normal and normal-inverse-gamma model, we derive the Bayesian estimator of the variance parameter in the normal distribution under Stein’s loss function—a penalty function that treats gross overestimation and underestimation equally—and compute the associated Posterior Expected Stein’s Loss (PESL). Additionally, we determine the Bayesian estimator of the same variance parameter under the squared error loss function, along with its corresponding PESL. We further develop empirical Bayes estimators for the variance parameter using a conjugate normal-inverse-gamma prior, employing both the method of moments and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Theoretical properties, including posterior and marginal distributions, two inequalities that relate two Bayes estimators and their corresponding PESLs, and consistencies of hyperparameter estimators and empirical Bayes estimators, are established. The simulation results demonstrate that MLEs outperform moment estimators in estimating hyperparameters, particularly with respect to consistency and model fit. Finally, we apply our methodology to real-world data on poverty levels—specifically, the percentage of individuals living below the poverty line—to validate and illustrate our theoretical findings.

AxiomsVol. 15(2)
Yunnan University (CN)
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
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