Structural Consequences of Aggregate Demand Management Policy Mixes

Expenditure structure, industrial structure and some other key economic indicators of Chinese economy have experienced turning changes since the second decade of 21<sup>st</sup> century. As for China's aggregate demand management, the investment stimulus implemented by local government has played a more prominent role than the interest rate policy and conventional fiscal policy. We set up a macroeconomic model with the above mentioned Chinese characteristic to analyze the impacts of the interest rate policy and local government investment stimulus on aggregate demand, and display the consequent variations in structural indicators such as the debt leverage, proportion of private investment and consumption rate. Our main finding is that China would achieve a lower debt leverage ratio, higher proportion of private investment and household consumption while effectively stimulating the aggregate demand once the authorities implement a more active interest rate policy rather than the local government investment stimulus.

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Publication Details

Journal
经济学报.
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.26599/cje.2025.9300304
Primary Topic
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
Type
article
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article

Structural Consequences of Aggregate Demand Management Policy Mixes

Guangtao Xia, Bin Zhang
经济学报.
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
article

Structural Consequences of Aggregate Demand Management Policy Mixes

Guangtao Xia, Bin Zhang
article en

Abstract

Expenditure structure, industrial structure and some other key economic indicators of Chinese economy have experienced turning changes since the second decade of 21<sup>st</sup> century. As for China's aggregate demand management, the investment stimulus implemented by local government has played a more prominent role than the interest rate policy and conventional fiscal policy. We set up a macroeconomic model with the above mentioned Chinese characteristic to analyze the impacts of the interest rate policy and local government investment stimulus on aggregate demand, and display the consequent variations in structural indicators such as the debt leverage, proportion of private investment and consumption rate. Our main finding is that China would achieve a lower debt leverage ratio, higher proportion of private investment and household consumption while effectively stimulating the aggregate demand once the authorities implement a more active interest rate policy rather than the local government investment stimulus.

经济学报.Vol. 12(3)
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CN), Institute of World Economics (HU)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
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